SPSS
SPSS
ﻧﻔﺲ
503ﻧﻔﺲ
ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﺘﺮﺑﻮﻱ
ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀ :
ﻫﻮ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﻭﺍﻹﺟﺮﺍﺀﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﰲ ﲨﻊ ﻭﺗﻨﻈﻴﻢ ﻭﲢﻠﻴـﻞ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧـﺎﺕ ـﺪﻑ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺻـﻞ
ﻻﺳﺘﻨﺘﺎﺟﺎﺕ ﻭﻗﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﻣﻌﻴﻨﺔ .
ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻐﻴﺮﺍﺕ :
ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺎﺕ ﻭﺍﻷﲝﺎﺙ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻤﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﺘﻨﺎﻭﻝ ﻗﻀﺎﻳﺎ ﲝﺜﻴﺔ ﻻ ﺑﺪ ﳍﺎ ﻣﻦ ﺗﻨﺎﻭﻝ ﺑﻌﺾ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﺘﻌﻠـﻖ ـﺬﻩ
ﺍﻟﻘﻀﺎﻳﺎ ﻭﺣﱴ ﻳﺴﺘﻄﻴﻊ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺣﺚ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﺘﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﻣﻊ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺍﻷﺳـﺎﻟﻴﺐ ﺍﻹﺣـﺼﺎﺋﻴﺔ ﺍﳌﻨﺎﺳـﺒﺔ
ﻻ ﺑﺪ ﻟﻪ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻃﺒﻴﻌﺔ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ،ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻧﺘﻨﺎﻭﻝ ﰲ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳉﺰﺀ ﻣﻔﻬﻮﻡ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﻭﺃﻧﻮﺍﻉ
ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺨﺘﻠﻔﺔ ﺍﻟﱵ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺘﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﻣﻌﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺣﺚ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻤﻲ .
ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻐﻴﺮ :
ﻫﻮ ﻣﻔﻬﻮﻡ ﻳﻌﱪ ﻋﻦ ﻣﺪﻯ ﺍﺧﺘﻼﻑ ﻋﻨﺎﺻﺮ ﻓﺌﺔ ﻣﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﻭﻓﻘﹰﺎ ﻟﺼﻔﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺧﺎﺻﻴﺔ ﳏﺪﺩﺓ .
ﺇﻋﺪﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﻄﺎﻟﺐ :ﺭﻳﺎﺽ ﺍﳌﻄﺮﰲ twirsh858@[Link] ( 2 )
ﺇﺣﺼﺎﺀ ﺗﺮﺑﻮﻱ 503 ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................ﻧﻔﺲ
ﺃﻣﺜﻠﺔ :
ﺇﺫﺍ ﺃﺭﺍﺩ ﺃﺣﺪ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺣﺜﲔ ﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺷﺪﺓ ﺍﻹﺿﺎﺀﺓ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺇﻧﺘﺎﺟﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﺎﻝ ﰲ ﺃﺣﺪ ﺍﳌﺆﺳﺴﺎﺕ ﺍﻟـﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻓـﺈﻥ ﻫـﺬﺍ
ﻼ ﻫﻮ ) ﺷﺪﺓ ﺍﻹﺿﺎﺀﺓ ( ،ﻭﺁﺧﺮ ﺗﺎﺑﻌﹰﺎ ﻫﻮ ) ﺇﻧﺘﺎﺟﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻞ ( ﻭﺇﻥ ﱂ
ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺣﺚ ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﰲ ﺩﺭﺍﺳﺘﻪ ﻣﺘﻐﲑﹰﺍ ﻣﺴﺘﻘ ﹰ
ﻳﻠﺘﻔﺖ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺣﺚ ﺇﱃ ﻣﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺃﺧﺮﻯ ﻣﺜﻞ ) ﺩﺭﺟﺔ ﺍﳊﺮﺍﺭﺓ ،ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻷﺟﻮﺭ " ﺍﻟﺮﻭﺍﺗﺐ " ،ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺼﺤﺔ ،
ﺗﺪﺭﻳﺐ ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻣﻞ ( ﻓﺈﻥ ﺗﻠﻚ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺆﺛﺮ ﰲ ﺇﻧﺘﺎﺟﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻞ ،ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻻ ﳝﻜﻦ ﳍـﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺣـﺚ ﺃﻥ
ﻳﻔﺴﺮ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﱵ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺼﻞ ﺇﻟﻴﻬﺎ ﻭﻓﻖ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ) ﺷﺪﺓ ﺍﻹﺿﺎﺀﺓ ﻓﻘﻂ ( .
ﺇﻋﺪﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﻄﺎﻟﺐ :ﺭﻳﺎﺽ ﺍﳌﻄﺮﰲ twirsh858@[Link] ( 5 )
ﺇﺣﺼﺎﺀ ﺗﺮﺑﻮﻱ 503 ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................ﻧﻔﺲ
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ :
ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻟﻠﺬﻛﻮﺭ ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ " . " 1
ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻟﻺﻧﺎﺙ ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ " . " 2
ﻓﺎﻷﺭﻗﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻳﺔ ﻫﻨﺎ ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﻣﺖ ﻟﻜﻲ ﺗﻌﱪ ﻓﻘﻂ ﻋﻦ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﳉﻨﺲ ،ﻛﻮﻧﻪ ﺫﻛﺮﹰﺍ ﺃﻭ ﺃﻧﺜﻰ ﻛﻤﺎ ﳝﻜـﻦ ﺃﻳـﻀﹰﺎ
ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﺍﻷﺭﻗﺎﻡ ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺒﲑ ﻋﻦ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﳌﻬﻨﺔ :
ﻓﻴﻤﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻌﻄﻰ ﻟﻠﻄﺒﻴﺐ ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ " . " 1
ﻭﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻌﻄﻰ ﻟﻠﻤﻬﻨﺪﺱ ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ " . " 2
ﻭﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻌﻄﻰ ﻟﻠﻤﻌﻠﻢ ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ " . " 3
ﻓﺎﻷﺭﻗﺎﻡ ﻫﻨﺎ ﺗﺪﻝ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻮﻇﻴﻔﺔ ﻓﻘﻂ ﻭﲢﻞ ﳏﻠﻬﺎ ،ﻭﺍﻷﺭﻗﺎﻡ ﰲ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﻻ ﻳـﺼﻠﺢ ﺃﻥ
ﲡﺮﻯ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﳊﺴﺎﺑﻴﺔ ﺍﻷﺭﺑﻊ ) ﺍﻟﻄﺮﺡ ﻭﺍﳉﻤﻊ ﻭﺍﻟﻀﺮﺏ ﻭﺍﻟﻘﺴﻤﺔ ( .
§ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﳝﺜﻞ ﺃﺩﱏ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻳﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ .
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ :
ﻛﻤﺎ ﺃﻥ ﺍﳊﺎﺻﻞ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺮﺗﻴﺐ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﰲ ﺇﺣﺪﻯ ﺍﳌﺪﺍﺭﺱ ﻟﻴﺲ ﺑﺎﻟﻀﺮﻭﺭﺓ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺘﺴﺎﻭﻯ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﰲ ﻣﺪﺭﺳـﺔ
ﺃﺧﺮﻯ .
ﻭﻟﻜﻦ ﻳﻌﻴﺐ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﻋﺪﻡ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺻﻔﺮ ﻣﻄﻠﻖ ،ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻓﺈﻥ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻋﻴﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻷﺭﻗـﺎﻡ ﺍﻟـﱵ
ﺗﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﻣﻊ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﻻ ﲡﺮﻱ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻘﺴﻤﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ .
ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻓﺈﻧﻪ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﳊﺴﺎﺑﻴﺔ ﺍﻷﺭﺑﻊ ﻣﻊ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﻋﺪﺍ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻘﺴﻤﺔ .
ﻣﻠﺤﻮﻇﺔ :
• ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﻫﻮ ﺃﺣﺪ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﻳﻴﺲ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺋﻴﺔ ﺍﳋﺎﺿﻌﺔ ،ﺣﻴﺚ ﺃﻧﻪ ﻳﻌﺘﻤﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻃﺮﰲ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺯﻳﻊ .
• ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﰲ ﺣﺎﻟﺔ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ ﻓﻘﻂ ﻭﻫﻲ ﻋﻨﺪﻣﺎ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺗﻮﺯﻳﻊ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻋﺘﺪﺍﻟﻴﹰﺎ .
) ﺏ ( ﺍﻟﻮﺳﻴﻂ :
ﻫﻮ ﺗﻠﻚ ﺍﻟﻨﻘﻄﺔ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﻨﺼﻒ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺃﻱ ﺗﻮﺯﻳﻊ ،ﺃﻱ ﻳﺴﺒﻘﻬﺎ ﻋﺪﺩ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﻣﺴﺎ ﹴﻭ ﻟﻌـﺪﺩ ﺍﻟـﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ
ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﳍﺎ .
ﻣﻼﺣ ﻈﺔ :
• ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﺍﻟﻮﺳﻴﻂ ﰲ ﺣﺎﻟﺔ ﺗﻮﺯﻳﻌﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﻏﲑ ﺍﻻﻋﺘﺪﺍﻟﻴﺔ ،ﺃﻱ ﺍﳌﻠﺘﻮﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍ ًﺀ ﻣﻮﺟﺒﹰﺎ ﺃﻭ ﺳـﺎﻟﺒﹰﺎ .
ﺷﻜﻞ ) ( 2 ، 1
) ﺝ ( ﺍﳌﻨﻮﺍﻝ :
ﻫﻮ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺯﻳﻊ ﺷﻴﻮﻋﹰﺎ ﻭﺗﻜﺮﺍﺭﹰﺍ ﺃﻭ ﻫﻮ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﺻﺎﺣﺒﺔ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺗﻜﺮﺍﺭ .
ﻣﻼﺣ ﻈﺔ :
• ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﺍﳌﻨﻮﺍﻝ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺯﻳﻌﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﲤﺜﻞ ﻗﻴﺎﺳﺎﺕ ﺗﻨﺪﺭﺝ ﲢﺖ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻹﲰﻲ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﻨﻴﻔﻲ .
ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺎﺕ :
• ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﺗﻮﺯﻳﻊ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻋﺘﺪﺍﻟﻴﹰﺎ ﻓﺈﻧﻪ ﻳﺼﻠﺢ ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﻣﻘﺎﻳﻴﺲ ﺍﻟﱰﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﺔ ) ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ،ﻭﺳـﻴﻂ ،
ﻣﻨﻮﺍﻝ ( ،ﻛﻤﺎ ﺃﻥ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﻳﻴﺲ ﺗﺘﺴﺎﻭﻯ ﰲ ﻗﻴﻤﺘﻬﺎ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺯﻳﻊ ﺍﻋﺘﺪﺍﻟﻴﹰﺎ .
• ﺷﺮﻁ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺯﻳﻊ ﺍﻻﻋﺘﺪﺍﱄ ﻫﻮ :ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳﻂ = ﺍﻟﻮﺳﻴﻂ = ﺍﳌﻨﻮﺍﻝ .
• ﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﺍﻟﻮﺳﻴﻂ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺯﻳﻌﺎﺕ ﺍﻻﻋﺘﺪﺍﻟﻴﺔ ﻭﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﺍﳌﻠﺘﻮﻳﺔ ،ﻭﻟﻜﻦ ﻻ ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺯﻳﻌﺎﺕ
ﺍﳌﻠﺘﻮﻳﺔ ﺇﻻ ﺍﻟﻮﺳﻴﻂ ﻓﻘﻂ .
• ﺍﳌﻨﻮﺍﻝ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﻣﻊ ﲨﻴﻊ ﺃﻧﻮﺍﻉ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺯﻳﻌﺎﺕ ) ﻣﻠﺘﻮﻳﺔ ﺃﻭ ﻏﲑ ﻣﻠﺘﻮﻳﺔ ( ) ،ﻣﻌﺘﺪﻟـﺔ ﺃﻭ ﻏـﲑ
ﻣﻌﺘﺪﻟﺔ ( ،ﻭﻟﻜﻦ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺯﻳﻌﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﲤﺜﻞ ﻗﻴﺎﺳﺎﺕ ﺗﻨﺪﺭﺝ ﲢﺖ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻻﲰﻲ ﻻ ﻳـﺼﻠﺢ ﻣﻌﻬـﺎ ﺇﻻ
ﺍﳌﻨﻮﺍﻝ .
% 68
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ) : ( 1
ﺃﺭﺍﺩ ﺃﺣﺪ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺣﺜﲔ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻝ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻓﻀﻞ ﺃﻧﻮﺍﻉ ﺍﳌﺪﺍﺭﺱ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻮﻳﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﻘﺪﻡ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﻣﺘﻤﻴـﺰﺍﹰ
ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻢ ﻓﻘﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺣﺚ ﺑﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﻋﺸﻮﺍﺋﻴﺔ ﺣﺠﻤﻬﺎ ) 25ﻃﺎﻟﺐ ( ﻣﻦ ﻃﻼﺏ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻮﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻣﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺛﻼﺛﺔ
ﺃﻧﻮﺍﻉ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺪﺍﺭﺱ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻮﻳﺔ :
) ﻣﺪﺭﺳﺔ ﺃﺟﻨﺒﻴﺔ ،ﻣﺪﺭﺳﺔ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﻴﺔ ،ﻣﺪﺭﺳﺔ ﺩﻳﻨﻴﺔ ( ،ﰒ ﻗﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺣﺚ ﺑﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭﹰﺍ ﲢﺼﻴﻠﻴﹰﺎ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻛﻞ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ
ﰒ ﺳﺤﺒﻬﺎ ﻣﻦ ﻛﻞ ﻧﻮﻉ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌـﺪﺍﺭﺱ ﻋﻠـﻰ ﺣـﺪﻩ ،ﻓﺤـﺼﻞ ﻋﻠـﻰ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧـﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻮﺿـﺤﺔ ﺑـﺎﳌﻠﻒ
] [ Try1ﺣﻴﺚ ﻗﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺣﺚ ﺑﺘﺴﺠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﺤـﺼﻴﻠﻴﺔ ﰲ ﻫـﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﻠـﻒ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻌﻤـﻮﺩ ﺍﳌـﺴﻤﻰ
] . [ Achevi
ﻛﻤﺎ ﻗﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺣﺚ ﺑﺈﺩﺧﺎﻝ ﺍﻷﻛـﻮﺍﺩ ﺍﳋﺎﺻـﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﺜﻼﺛـﺔ ﺃﻧـﻮﺍﻉ ﻣـﻦ ﺍﳌـﺪﺍﺭﺱ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻌﻤـﻮﺩ ﺍﳌـﺴﻤﻰ
] [ Groupﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻨﺤﻮ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ :
ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩ ) ( 1ﻟﻠﻤﺪﺭﺳﺔ ﺍﻷﺟﻨﺒﻴﺔ .
ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩ ) ( 2ﻟﻠﻤﺪﺭﺳﺔ ﺍﳊﻜﻮﻣﻴﺔ .
ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩ ) ( 3ﻟﻠﻤﺪﺭﺳﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﻳﻨﻴﺔ .
ﻓﺈﺫﺍ ﺍﻓﺘﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺣﺚ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﺔ ﺃﻧﻮﺍﻉ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺪﺍﺭﺱ ﺗﻘﺪﻡ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻢ ،ﻓﺎﺧﺘﱪ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﻣﻦ
ﺍﻟﻮﺟﻬﺔ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺋﻴﺔ ﻣﺴﺘﺨﺪﻣﹰﺎ ﺃﺣﺪ ﻣﻘﺎﻳﻴﺲ ﺍﻟﱰﻋﺔ ﺍﳌﺮﻛﺰﻳﺔ .
§ ﺇﺩﺧﺎﻝ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻬﺪﻑ ﺇﺟﺮﺍﺀ ﻭﻋﻘﺪ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺎﺕ ﺑﻴﻨﻬﺎ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺘﺎﺑﻊ ﰲ ﺃﻭﻝ ﺃﻋﻤﺪﺓ ﺍﳌﻠـﻒ
ﺍﻟﻔﺎﺭﻍ ﻣﻦ ﺟﻬﺔ ﺍﻟﻴﺴﺎﺭ .
§ ﻧﻘﻒ ﺑﺎﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻭﻝ ﺧﺎﻧﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺧﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻮﺩ ﺍﳋﺎﺹ ﺑﺎﻟﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﻟﺒﺪﺀ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﻹﺩﺧﺎﻝ .
§ ﺗﺴﻤﻴﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﰎ ﺇﺩﺧﺎﻟﻪ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺑﺎﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠـﻰ ] ) [ Variable Viewﺭﺅﻳـﺔ ﺍﳌـﺘﻐﲑ ( ،
ﺑﺸﺮﻳﻂ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ .
§ ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﺟﺪﻭﻝ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻛﻞ ﺍﳋﺼﺎﺋﺺ ﺍﳌﻤﻜﻨﺔ ﻟﻠﻤﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﰎ ﺇﺩﺧﺎﻟﻪ .
§ ﺇﺩﺧﺎﻝ ﺍﻷﺭﻗﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻟﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﲜﻮﺍﺭ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﰎ ﺇﺩﺧﺎﻟﻪ ﻣـﺴﺒﻘﹰﺎ ﻭﺫﻟـﻚ ﰲ
ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻮﺩ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﺑﺎﳌﻠﻒ .
§ ﺇﺩﺧﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 1ﺃﻣﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﺎﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻷﻭﱃ ﻣﻦ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ .
§ ﺇﺩﺧﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 2ﺃﻣﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﺎﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﻣﻦ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ .
§ ﺇﺩﺧﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 3ﺃﻣﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﺎﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺜﺔ ﻣﻦ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ .
§ ﺗﺴﻤﻴﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺑﺎﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] [ Variable Viewﰒ ﻧﻐﲑ ﺍﺳﻢ ﺍﳌـﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﻜـﻮﺩﻱ
ﻭﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺍﺳﻢ ﻣﻨﺎﺳﺐ ﻟﻪ .
§ ﻭﻟﺘﻌﺮﻳﻒ ﺍﻟﱪﻧﺎﻣﺞ ﲟﺠﻤﻮﻋﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﻭﺍﻷﻛﻮﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﺪﻝ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﻘﻊ ﰲ ﺗﻘﺎﻃﻊ
] ) [ Valuesﻗــﻴﻢ ( ،ﻣــﻊ ] [ Groupﻳﺒــﺪﻭ ﻟﻨــﺎ ﻣﺮﺑــﻊ ﺣــﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﺑﺎﺳــﻢ
] ) [ Value Labelsﺍﺳﻢ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ( ،ﻟﻜﺘﺎﺑﺔ ﺍﺳﻢ ﺍﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﺪﻝ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ .
§ ﻧﺪﺧﻞ ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 1ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺍﳋﺎﻧﺔ ] ، [ Valueﻭﻧﺪﺧﻞ ﺍﺳـﻢ ﺍﻤﻮﻋـﺔ ﺩﺍﺧـﻞ ﺍﳋﺎﻧـﺔ
] [ Value Labelsﻭﻟﻴﻜﻦ ) ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺳﺔ ﺍﻷﺟﻨﺒﻴﺔ ( ﰒ ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] ، [ Addﻭﻫﻜﺬﺍ .
ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﰲ ﺃﻗﺼﻰ ﻳﺴﺎﺭﻩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﻳﺘﻀﻤﻦ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﺑﺎﳌﻠﻒ ﺍﳌﻔﺘﻮﺡ . §
ﻧﻈﻠﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻷﻛﻮﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﺪﻝ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺳﺔ ﻭﻫﻮ ] . [ Group §
ﺗﻨﺸﻴﻂ ﺍﳋﻴﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻭﻫﻮ ﲟـﺴﻤﻰ ] [ Organize Output By Groupﺃﻱ ) ﺭﺗـﺐ §
ﺍﳌﺨﺮﺟﺎﺕ ﻭﻓﻘﹰﺎ ﻟﻠﻌﻴﻨﺎﺕ ( .
ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﻟﻨﻘﻞ ﻣﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻷﻛﻮﺍﺩ ] [ Groupﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻷﳝـﻦ ﻭﺍﳌﻌﻨـﻮﻥ §
] . [ Groups Based On
ﻣﻼﺣ ﻈﺔ :
• ﺍﳋﻄﻮﺍﺕ ﻣﻦ 1ـ 7ﺪﻑ ﺇﱃ ) ﺇﺧﺮﺍﺝ ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺳﻮﻑ ﲡـﺮﻯ ﻻﺣﻘـﹰﺎ ﻭﻓﻘـﹰﺎ
ﻟﻸﻧﻮﺍﻉ ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺪﺍﺭﺱ ( .
§ ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﰲ ﺃﻗﺼﻰ ﻳﺴﺎﺭﻩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺄﲰﺎﺀ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﺑﺎﳌﻠﻒ ﺍﳌﻔﺘﻮﺡ ﰒ
ﻧﻈﻠﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﻭﺍﳌﺴﺘﻬﺪﻑ ﻣـﻦ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴـﻞ ﻭﻫـﻮ ﻣـﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟـﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﺤـﺼﻴﻠﻴﺔ
] [ Acheviﰒ ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ ﳝﲔ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﻟﻨﻘﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻬﺪﻑ ﲢﻠﻴﻠﻪ
ﺇﱃ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻼﺕ .
§ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺧﻴﺎﺭ ] [ Optionsﰲ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﺃﻗﺼﻰ ﳝﲔ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳊﻮﺍﺭ ﰒ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﳌﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ .
§ ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺑﻌﺾ ﺍﻷﺳﺎﻟﻴﺐ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺋﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻮﺻﻔﻴﺔ ،ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﻣﻦ ﺑﻴﻨﻬﺎ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳـﻂ
ﺍﳊﺴﺎﰊ ] . [ Mean
§ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻛﻠﻤﺔ ] [ Continueﺃﻱ ) ﺍﺳﺘﻤﺮ ( .
§ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] [ Okﻻﺳﺘﺨﺮﺍﺝ ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺑﺔ ﻭﺑﻴﺎﺎ ﻓﻴﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ :
ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﺃﻥ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺳﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﻳﻨﻴﺔ ﺃﻓﻀﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺳﺔ ﺍﳊﻜﻮﻣﻴﺔ ﻭﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺳـﺔ ﺍﻷﺟﻨﺒﻴـﺔ
ﺣﻴﺚ ﺑﻠﻎ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺳﺔ ) ( 18.72ﻭﻫﻮ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﻦ ﻛﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺳﺘﲔ ﺍﳊﻜﻮﻣﻴﺔ ﻭﻛـﺬﻟﻚ ﺍﻷﺟﻨﺒﻴـﺔ
ﻭﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﺑﻠﻎ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﻴﻬﻤﺎ ) ( 14.28ﻭ) ( 8.76ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺮﺗﻴﺐ .
ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ :
ﰲ ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﳝﻜﻦ ﻟﻠﺒﺎﺣﺚ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺮﻓﺾ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ ﻭﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﻨﺺ ﻋﻠـﻰ " :ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛـﺔ
ﺃﻧﻮﺍﻉ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺪﺍﺭﺱ ﺗﻘﺪﻡ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻤﻲ " .
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ) : ( 2
ﺃﻭﺟﺪ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
.1ﺍﻟﻮﺳﻴﻂ .
.2ﺍﳌﻨﻮﺍﻝ .
.3ﺍﻻﳓﺮﺍﻑ ﺍﳌﻌﻴﺎﺭﻱ .
.4ﺍﻟﺘﺒﺎﻳﻦ .
.5ﺍﻹﺭﺑﺎﻋﻴﺎﺕ .
.6ﺍﻻﻟﺘﻮﺍﺀ .
.7ﺍﻟﺘﻔﺮﻃﺢ .
ﰒ ﺍﺧﺘﱪ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﻻﻟﺘﻮﺍﺀ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻔﺮﻃﺢ ﰲ ﺍﳌﺪﺍﺭﺱ ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﺔ ) ﺍﳊﻜﻮﻣﻴﺔ ،ﺍﻷﺟﻨﺒﻴﺔ ،ﺍﻟﺪﻳﻨﻴﺔ ( .
§ ﺍﻟﺘﻈﻠﻴﻞ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻬﺪﻑ ﲢﻠﻴﻠﻪ ﻭﻫﻮ ] ، [ Acheviﰒ ﻧﻘﻞ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻷﳝﻦ
ﺍﳋﺎﺹ ﺑﻘﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ] . [ Variables
§ ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﻳﺘﻀﻤﻦ ﲨﻴﻊ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻮﺻﻔﻴﺔ ،ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﻣﻦ ﺑﻴﻨﻬﺎ :
] [ Median .1ﺍﻟﻮﺳﻴﻂ
] [ Mode .2ﺍﳌﻨﻮﺍﻝ
] [ Std. Deviation .3ﺍﻻﳓﺮﺍﻑ ﺍﳌﻌﻴﺎﺭﻱ
] [ Variance .4ﺍﻟﺘﺒﺎﻳﻦ
] [ Skewness .5ﺍﻻﻟﺘﻮﺍﺀ
] [ Kurtosis .6ﺍﻟﺘﻔﺮﻃﺢ
] [ Quartiles .7ﺍﻹﺭﺑﺎﻋﻴﺎﺕ
§ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻛﻠﻤﺔ ] [ Continueﺃﻱ ) ﺍﺳﺘﻤﺮ ( .
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ) : ( 1
ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺮﺝ ﻛﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻹﺭﺑﺎﻋﻴﺎﺕ ،ﺍﻟﺴﺒﺎﻋﻴﺎﺕ ،ﺍﻟﺘﺴﺎﻋﻴﺎﺕ ،ﺍﻹﻋﺸﺎﺭﻳﺎﺕ ،ﺍﳌﻴﺌﻴﻨﻴﺎﺕ ﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺝ
ﲟﻠﻒ ] . [ Try1
ﺍﳊﻞ :
§ ﻧﻔﺘﺢ ﻣﻠﻒ ] [ Try1ﻭﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻬﺪﻑ ] . [ Atchevi
§ ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﺍﻷﻣﺮ ] . [ Analyze
§ ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻮﺻﻔﻴﺔ ] [ Descriptive Statisticsﻓﻴﻈﻬﺮ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺁﺧﺮ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ
ﻋﺪﺓ ﺧﻴﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﻣﻦ ﺑﻴﻨﻬﺎ ﺧﻴﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ] [ Frequenciesﰒ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﳌﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ .
ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﰲ ﻳﺴﺎﺭﻩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺄﲰﺎﺀ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﲟﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻔﺘـﻮﺡ §
ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﻣﻨﻬﺎ ﻣﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ] . [ Atchevi
ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳﻂ ﻟﻨﻘﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻬﺪﻑ ﺇﱃ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻼﺕ ] . [ Variables §
ﺇﻟﻐﺎﺀ ﺧﻴﺎﺭ ﻋﺮﺽ ﺍﳉﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭﻳﺔ ] ، [ Display Frequency Tablesﻓﺘﺒـﺪﻭ ﻟﻨـﺎ §
ﺭﺳﺎﻟﺔ ﺑﺎﳌﻮﺍﻓﻘﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻹﻟﻐﺎﺀ ﰒ ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﻮﺍﻓﻖ ﻟﺘﺨﺘﻔﻲ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺮﺳﺎﻟﺔ .
ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺧﻴﺎﺭ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀﺍﺕ ] [ Statisticsﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳊﻮﺍﺭﻱ ،ﻓﻴﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭﻱ §
ﺁﺧﺮ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﰲ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻳﺴﺎﺭﻩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﻴﻢ ﺍﳌﺌﻮﻳﺔ ] [ Percentile Valuseﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﻣﻨـﻬﺎ
] [ Quartilesﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺑﺎﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﳌﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ .
ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﺳﺘﻤﺮ ] . [ Continue §
§ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] ، [ Okﻟﻠﺤﺼﻮﻝ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﻭﺑﻴﺎﺎ ﻓﻴﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ :
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ) : ( 2
ﰲ ﺍﳌﺜﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻭﺟﺪ ﺍﳌﻴﺌﻴﲏ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻊ ﻭﺍﳋﻤﺴﻮﻥ ) ( 57ﻭﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﺍﳌﻴﺌـﻴﲏ ﺍﻟـﺴﺎﺑﻊ ﻭﺍﻟـﺴﺒﻌﻮﻥ ) ( 77
ﻭﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﺍﳌﻴﺌﻴﲏ ﺍﻟﻮﺍﺣﺪ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺴﻌﻮﻥ ) . ( 91
ﺍﳊﻞ :
§ ﻧﺘﺒﻊ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﳋﻄﻮﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺘﺒﻌﺔ ﻣﻊ ﺍﳌﻴﺌﻴﻨﻴﺎﺕ ،ﻭﻟﻜـﻦ ﺑـﺪ ﹰﻻ ﻣـﻦ ﺍﺧﺘﻴـﺎﺭ ﺍﳋﻴـﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺜـﺎﱐ ﻭﻫـﻮ
] [ Cut Points Forﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﺍﳋﻴﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻭﻫﻮ ] [ Percentilesﰒ ﻧﻘﻮﻡ ﺑﻜﺘﺎﺑﺔ ﺍﳌﻴﺌﻴﲏ
ﺍﳌﻄﻠــﻮﺏ ﺩﺍﺧــﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺑــﻊ ﺍــﺎﻭﺭ ﳍــﺬﺍ ﺍﳋﻴــﺎﺭ ﻭﻟــﻴﻜﻦ ) ( 57ﰒ ﺍﻟــﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠــﻰ
] ، [ Addﰒ ) ( 77ﰒ ] ، [ Addﰒ ) ( 91ﰒ ] . [ Add
§ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﺳﺘﻤﺮ ] . [ Continue
§ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] ، [ Okﻟﻠﺤﺼﻮﻝ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﻭﺑﻴﺎﺎ ﻓﻴﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ :
• ﺇﺫﺍ ﺃﺧﻞ ﺑﺸﺮﻁ ﻭﺍﺣﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻷﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﻭﻁ ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻓﻼ ﻳﺼﻠﺢ ﺣﻴﻨﺌﺬ ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﺍﻷﺳـﺎﻟﻴﺐ
ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺋﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺭﺍﻣﻴﺘﺮﻳﺔ .
§ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ) ﺕ ( ﻟﻌﻴﻨﺘﲔ ﻣﺘﺮﺍﺑﻄﺘﲔ ،ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ) :ﻗﻴﺎﺱ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﻔﻬﻢ ﻗﺒﻞ ﻭﺑﻌﺪ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﺞ ﻣﺎ ( .
ﻭﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺑﻨﻔﺴﻬﺎ ﺑﻌﺪ ﻣﺘﻐﲑ ﲡﺮﻳﱯ ﻣﺴﺘﻬﺪﻑ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺍﺩﺧﺎﻟﻪ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ .
ﺍﳊﻞ :
§ ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﺍﻷﻣﺮ ] . [ Analyze
§ ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﺍﻻﺳﻠﻮﺏ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺋﻲ ] [ Compare Meansﺃﻱ ) ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳﻄﺎﺕ ( ،ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﻣـﻦ
ﺑﲔ ﺍﻷﺳﺎﻟﻴﺐ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺋﻴﺔ ﺍﳌﻌﺮﻭﺿﺔ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ .
§ ﺗﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﺧﻴـﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﺃﺧـﺮﻯ ﳔﺘـﺎﺭ ﻣـﻦ ﺑﻴﻨـﻬﺎ ﺍﺧﺘﻴـﺎﺭ ] [ One – Sample T Test
ﺃﻱ ) ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ " ﺕ " ﻟﻠﻤﺠﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﻮﺍﺣﺪﺓ ( ،ﰒ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﳌﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ .
§ ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﰲ ﻳﺴﺎﺭﻩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺎﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﲟﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻔﺘﻮﺡ ،ﻧﻈﻠﻞ
ﻣﻦ ﺑﲔ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻬﺪﻑ ﺍﺟﺮﺍﺀ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﻭﻓﻘﹰﺎ ﻟﻪ ﻭﻫﻮ ﻣﺘﻐﲑ ] . [ Criatevety
§ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﳝﻦ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ ﳝﲔ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﻟﻨﻘﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﻈﻠﻞ ﺇﱃ ﻗﺎﺋﻤـﺔ ﻣـﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ
ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻭﺍﳌﻨﻮﻩ] . [ Test Variables
§ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻟﺼﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﻭﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻥ ] [ Test Valueﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺪﻑ ﻛﺘﺎﺑﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳـﻂ
ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺮﺍﺿﻲ ﻟﻠﻤﺠﺘﻤﻊ ﻭﻫﻮ ) . ( 30
§ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] [ Optionsﻓﻴﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﻄﺒﻴﻌﻲ ﻟﻠﱪﻧـﺎﻣﺞ
ﻭﻫﻮ % 95ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳋﺎﺹ ﺑﻔﺘﺮﺓ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ ﻭﻫﻮ ] . [ Confidence Interval
§ ﻓﺈﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﻫﻮ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺛﻘﺔ ﻗﺪﺭﻩ % 95ﻳﻨﺒﻐﻲ ﺍﻹﺑﻘﺎﺀ ﻋﻠـﻰ ﺍﻟﻨـﺴﺒﺔ
ﺍﻟﻄﺒﻴﻌﻴﺔ ﺍﳌﻮﺟﻮﺩﺓ ﺑﺪﺍﺧﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﻛﻤﺎ ﻫﻲ ﺩﻭﻥ ﺃﻱ ﺗﻌﺪﻳﻞ ،ﺃﻣﺎ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﻫﻮ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ
ﻋﻨــﺪ ﻣــﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻻﻟــﺔ ﻗــﺪﺭﻩ % 99ﻓﻴﻨﺒﻐــﻲ ﺗﻐــﻴﲑ ﺍﻟﻨــﺴﺒﺔ % 95ﻭﺗﻌﺪﻳﻠــﻬﺎ
ﺇﱃ ﺍﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ . % 99
§ ﺇﺫﺍ ﱂ ﻳﺬﻛﺮ ﺻﺮﺍﺣﺔ ﺃﻱ ﻧﺴﺒﺔ ﺛﻘﺔ ﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﻻ ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﺍﳋﻴﺎﺭ ] . [ Options
ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻻﺑﺘﻜﺎﺭ ﻟﺪﻯ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ = 13.9
ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ) ﺕ ( ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ) ( 26.1ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ﻭﻫﻲ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺩﺍﻟـﺔ ﻋﻨـﺪ ﻣـﺴﺘﻮﻯ
% 5ﺣﻴﺚ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ] ) [ Sig.( 2-tailedﺑﻠﻐـﺖ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤـﺔ ) ، ( 0ﻭﺣﻴـﺚ ﺃﻥ ﻫـﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤـﺔ
ﺃﺻﻐﺮ ﻣﻦ % 5ﻓﺈﻥ ﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﻌﲏ ﺃﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﻓﺮﻭﻗﹰﺎ ﺟﻮﻫﺮﻳﺔ ) ﺫﺍﺕ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ﺇﺣﺼﺎﺋﻴﺔ ( ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﻲ ﻃﺮﰲ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ
) ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ – ﺍﺘﻤﻊ ( ﻭﳘﺎ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺮﺗﻴﺐ ) . ( 30 ، 13.9
ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ :
ﰲ ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ،ﳚﺐ ﺭﻓﺾ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﻨﺺ ﻋﻠﻰ :
" ﻻ ﳜﺘﻠﻒ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﻃﻼﺏ ﺍﻟﺪﻛﺘﻮﺭﺍﺓ ﻋﻦ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺮﺍﺿﻲ ﺘﻤﻊ ﻫﺆﻻﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻼﺏ "
ﻣﻼﺣ ﻈﺔ :
• ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ] ) [ Sig.( 2-tailedﺃﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻭ ﺗﺴﺎﻭﻱ 0.05ﻭﺫﻟـﻚ ﻋﻨـﺪ ﻣـﺴﺘﻮﻯ
ﺛﻘﺔ % 95ﻓﺈﻥ ﺫﻟﻚ ﻳﻌﲏ ﺭﻓﺾ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻳﺔ .
• ﺃﻣﺎ ﺇﺫﺍ ﺯﺍﺩﺕ ﻋﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ 0.05ﻓﺈﻧﻨﺎ ﻧﻘﺒﻠﻬﺎ .
• ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠـﻮﺏ ﻫـﻮ 0.01ﺃﻱ ﻣـﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺛﻘـﺔ % 99ﻭﻛﺎﻧـﺖ ﻗﻴﻤـﺔ
] ) [ Sig.( 2-tailedﺃﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻭ ﻳﺴﺎﻭﻱ 0.01ﻓﺈﻧﻨﺎ ﻧﺮﻓﺾ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟـﺼﻔﺮﻱ ،ﺃﻣـﺎ ﺇﺫﺍ
ﺯﺍﺩﺕ ﻋﻦ 0.01ﻧﻘﺒﻠﻬﺎ .
ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀﺓ :
ﻫﻮ ﺫﻟﻚ ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺋﻲ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺮﺍﺟﻪ ﻣﻦ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﻋﺸﻮﺍﺋﻴﺔ ﳑﺜﻠﺔ ﺘﻤﻊ ﻣﻌﲔ ،ﻭﻗﺪ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ
ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀﺓ ) ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ،ﻭﺳﻴﻂ ،ﻣﻨﻮﺍﻝ ،ﺍﳓﺮﺍﻑ ﻣﻌﻴﺎﺭﻱ . ( . . .
ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻠﻤﺔ :
ﻫﻮ ﻣﺆﺷﺮ ﺇﺣﺼﺎﺋﻲ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺮﺍﺟﻪ ﻣﻦ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﺘﻤﻊ ﺍﻷﺻﻠﻲ ﻛﻠﻪ ،ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮ ﳝﺜﻞ ﺻﻔﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺧﺎﺻﻴﺔ ﻣﻦ
ﺧﺼﺎﺋﺺ ﺍﺘﻤﻊ ﺍﻷﺻﻠﻲ ،ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﺛﺒﺎﺗﹰﺎ ﻭﺻﺪﻗﹰﺎ .
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ) : ( 2
ﺃﺟﺮﻳﺖ ﺇﺣﺪﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺎﺕ ﺪﻑ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺍﻻﺑﺘﻜﺎﺭ ﻟﺪﻯ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻷﺫﻛﻴﺎﺀ ﻓﻘﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ
ﺑﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﻗﺪﺭﻫﺎ 89ﻓﺮﺩ ﻣﻦ ﳎﺘﻤﻊ ﺍﻷﺫﻛﻴﺎﺀ ،ﰒ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﰲ ﺧﻄﻮﺓ ﺗﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﺑﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻟﻼﺑﺘﻜﺎﺭ
ـﻒ ـﺎ ﲟﻠــﺼﻠﺖ ﻋﻠﻴﻬـ ـﱵ ﺣـ ـﺪ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧ ـﺎﺕ ﺍﻟـ
ـﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳ ـﺔ ﺑﺮﺻــﺮﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨ ـﺔ ،ﰒ ﻗﺎﻣـ ﻋﻠ ـﻰ ﺃﻓـ
] [ Try3ﲟﺴﻤﻰ ] . [ Criatevety
ﻓﺈﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺮﺍﺿﻲ ﻟﻼﺑﺘﻜﺎﺭ ﻟﺪﻯ ﳎﺘﻤﻊ ﺍﻷﺫﻛﻴﺎﺀ ﻫﻮ ) ( 20ﻓﺎﺧﺘﱪ ﰲ ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﱵ ﳝﻜـﻦ
ﺃﻥ ﺗﺼﻞ ﺇﻟﻴﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
" ﻻ ﳜﺘﻠﻒ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻻﺑﺘﻜﺎﺭ ﻟﺪﻯ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻷﺫﻛﻴﺎﺀ ﻋﻦ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺮﺍﺿﻲ ﺘﻤﻊ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ،ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﻋﻨﺪ
ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ﻗﺪﺭﻩ ) . " ( 0.01
ﺍﳊﻞ :
ﻧﺘﺒﻊ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﳋﻄﻮﺍﺕ ﰲ ﺣﻞ ﺍﳌﺜﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻏﲑ ﺃﻧﻨﺎ ﻧﻐﲑ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ ﻣﻦ % 95ﺇﱃ % 99ﻛﻤﺎ ﻫﻮ ﻣﻄﻠﻮﺏ
ﰲ ﺍﻟﺴﺆﺍﻝ .
ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟـﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻣﺘﻮﺳـﻂ ﺩﺭﺟـﺎﺕ ﺍﻻﺑﺘﻜـﺎﺭ ﻟـﺪﻯ ﻋﻴﻨـﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳـﺔ ﺑﻠﻐـﺖ ﻗﻴﻤـﺔ
) ( 19.8ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ .
ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ) ﺕ ( = ) ( 0.32ﻭﻫﻲ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻏـﲑ ﺩﺍﻟـﺔ ﻋﻨـﺪ ﻣـﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻻﻟـﺔ
) ( 0.01ﺣﻴﺚ ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ] ) [ Sig.( 2-tailedﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ) ( 0.8ﻭﻫﻲ ﺗﺰﻳـﺪ ﻋـﻦ ﻣـﺴﺘﻮﻯ
ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ) ، ( 0.01ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻻ ﺗﻮﺟﺪ ﻓﺮﻭﻕ ﺟﻮﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﻲ ﻃﺮﰲ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ) ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ـ ﺍﺘﻤﻊ ( ﻭﳘﺎ
) 19.8ـ ( 20ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺮﺗﻴﺐ .
ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ :
ﰲ ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻧﻘﺒﻞ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ ﻭﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﻨﺺ ﻋﻠﻰ :
" ﻻ ﳜﺘﻠﻒ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻻﺑﺘﻜﺎﺭ ﻟﺪﻯ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻷﺫﻛﻴﺎﺀ ﻋﻦ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺮﺍﺿﻲ ﺘﻤﻊ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ،ﻭﺫﻟﻚ
ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ﻗﺪﺭﻩ ) . " ( 0.01
ﻣﻼﺣ ﻈﺔ :
• ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ ﺃﺳﻬﻞ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻘﻖ ﻭﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﳌﺒﺎﺷﺮ ،ﻭﻟﺬﻟﻚ ﲣﺘـﱪ ﻛـﻞ ﺍﻷﺳـﺎﻟﻴﺐ
ﻭﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺋﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﻭﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻳﺔ ﺑﺪ ﹰﻻ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﻭﺽ ﺍﳌﺒﺎﺷﺮﺓ .
• ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻳﺔ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﻨﺪ ﺍﳌﻨﺤﲎ ﺫﻱ ﺍﻟﺬﻳﻠﲔ .
• ﺃﻣﺎ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﺒﺎﺷﺮﺓ ﺃﻭ ﺍﳌﻮﺟﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺒﺪﻳﻠﺔ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﻨﺪ ﺍﳌﻨﺤﲎ ﺫﻱ ﺍﻟﺬﻳﻞ ﺍﻟﻮﺍﺣﺪ .
ﻭﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺑﺄﻥ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺟﻮﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﻇﺎﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﻭﺗﺮﺟﻊ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻟﺼﺪﻓﺔ .
ﻭﺗﺮﺟﻊ ﺃﺳﺒﺎﺏ ﺍﻟﻮﻗﻮﻉ ﰲ ﻛﻼ ﺍﳋﻄﺄﻳﻦ ﺇﱃ ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺣﺚ ﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﺇﺣﺼﺎﺋﻴﺔ ﻏﲑ ﻣﻨﺎﺳﺒﺔ ؛ ﻧﻈﺮﹰﺍ ﻟﻺﺧﻼﻝ
ﰲ ﺷﺮﻭﻃﻬﺎ .
ﻣﻼﺣ ﻈﺔ :
• ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺮ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺋﻴﻮﻥ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﻣﻊ ﺍﳋﻄﺄ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﻫﻮ ـ ﺃﻟﻔﺎ ـ ) ، ( αﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨـﻮﻉ
ﻣﻦ ﺍﳋﻄﺄ ﻫﻮ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﻟﱵ ﳔﺘﱪ ﻋﻨﺪﻩ ﲨﻴﻊ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺜﻴﺔ .
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ :
ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﳋﻄﺄ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻂ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ) ، β = ( 0.15ﻓﻤﺎ ﻫﻲ ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺋﻲ ؟
ﺍﳊﻞ :
ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ = β – 1
ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ = 0.15 – 1
ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ = 0.85
ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﰲ ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﳎﺘﻤﻌﲔ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻠﲔ ﺍﺳﺘﻘﻼ ﹰﻻ ﺗﺎﻣﹰﺎ ﺃﻱ ﳐﺘﻠﻔﲔ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺎﺕ ﻭﺍﳋﺼﺎﺋﺺ ،ﻣﺜﻞ
ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ) ﺍﻟﺬﻛﻮﺭ ﺑﺎﻹﻧﺎﺙ ،ﺍﻟﺮﻳﻒ ﺑﺎﳊﻀﺮ ،ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﺑﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ( . . .ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﻭﻓﻘﹰﺎ ﻟﺒﻌﺾ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ .
-ﻭﻳﺸﺘﺮﻁ ﰲ ﺇﺟﺮﺍﺀﺍﺕ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﲡﺎﻧﺲ ﺃﻭ ﻋﺪﻡ ﲡﺎﻧﺲ ﻋﻴﻨﱵ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﻭﻓﻘـﹰﺎ ﻟﺘـﺸﺘﺖ
ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻬﺪﻑ ،ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺑﺎﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺷﺮﻁ ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺎﻧﺲ .
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ :
ﺃﺟﺮﻳﺖ ﺇﺣﺪﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺎﺕ ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﻭﻕ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﻮﺭ ﻭﺍﻹﻧﺎﺙ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ﻓﻘﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ
ﺑﺎﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﻋﻴﻨﺘﲔ ﻋﺸﻮﺍﺋﻴﺘﲔ ﻣﻦ ﻛﻞ ﻣﻦ ﳎﺘﻤﻊ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﻮﺭ ﻭﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﺍﻹﻧﺎﺙ ﺑﺈﺣﺪﻯ ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﳉﺎﻣﻌﻴﺔ ،ﺣﺠﻢ ﻛـﻞ
ﻣﻨﻬﺎ ) ( 30ﻓﺮﺩ ،ﰒ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺫﻟﻚ ﺑﺘﺴﺠﻴﻞ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﲟﺴﻤﻰ ] [ Intelegeﲟﻠﻒ
ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ] [ Try4ﰒ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺘﺴﺠﻴﻞ ﺍﻷﻛﻮﺍﺩ ﻟﺘﻤﻴﻴﺰ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺘﲔ ﻛﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ :
-ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 1ﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﻮﺭ .
-ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 2ﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻹﻧﺎﺙ .
ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺑﺎﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ] [ gﲟﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ] . [ Try4
ﻓﺈﺫﺍ ﺗﺒﻨﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
" ﻻ ﳜﺘﻠﻒ ﺫﻛﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﻮﺭ ﻋﻦ ﺫﻛﺎﺀ ﺍﻹﻧﺎﺙ " .
-ﺍﺧﺘﱪ ﺻﺤﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ﻗﺪﺭﻩ ) ( 0.05ﰲ ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﱵ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗـﺼﻞ ﺇﻟﻴﻬـﺎ
ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ .
ﺍﳊﻞ :
.1ﻧﻔﺘﺢ ﻣﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ] [ Try4ﻭﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ) ﻣﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ] ( [ Intelege
ﻭﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ] . [ g
.2ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﺍﻷﻣﺮ ] . [ Analyze
.3ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﺍﻷﻣﺮ ] ) [ Compare Meanﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳﻄﺎﺕ ( .
.4ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﺍﻷﻣﺮ ] ) [ Independent-Samples T Testﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ) ﺕ ( ﻟﻠﻌﻴﻨﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻠﺔ ( .
.5ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﲟﻠـﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧـﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻔﺘـﻮﺡ ] ، [ Try4ﳔﺘـﺎﺭ
) ﻣﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ] ( [ Intelegeﻭﻧﻈﻠﻠﻪ .
.6ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳﻂ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﻣﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ ﻟﻨﻘﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﻈﻠـﻞ ﺇﱃ ﻣﺮﺑـﻊ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠـﻴﻼﺕ ﺍﳌﻌﻨـﻮﻥ
ﺑـ ] . [ Test Variables
.9ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺎﺕ ] [ Defain Groupsﳌﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ ﻓﻴﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ
ﻣﺮﺑﻌﲔ ﻟﻜﺘﺎﺑﺔ ﺍﻷﻛﻮﺍﺩ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﻌﻴﻨﱵ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ) ﺫﻛﻮﺭ – ﺇﻧﺎﺙ ( .
.10ﻛﺘﺎﺑﺔ ﺍﻟـﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜـﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 1ﺩﺍﺧـﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺑـﻊ ﺍﳌﻮﺟـﻮﺩ ﺃﻣـﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨـﺔ ﺍﻷﻭﱃ ] ، [ Group 1
ﰒ ﻛﺘﺎﺑﺔ ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 2ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳌﻮﺟﻮﺩ ﺃﻣﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ] . [ Group 2ﻻ ﻳﻬﻢ ﺍﻟﺘﺮﺗﻴﺐ
.
.11ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] [ Continueﺍﺳﺘﻤﺮ .
.12ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] [ Optionsﺧﻴﺎﺭﺍﺕ ،ﻓﻴﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻓﺘﺮﺓ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ،ﻭﻫﻲ
ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺮﺓ ﺍﻟﻄﺒﻴﻌﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﱪﻧﺎﻣﺞ ) ( % 95ﻭﻫﻲ ﻓﺘﺮﺓ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﻘﺘﺮﻥ ﲟﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﺑﺎﳌﺜﺎﻝ .
.14ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] [ Okﻟﻠﺤﺼﻮﻝ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻭﺑﻴﺎﺎ ﻓﻴﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ :
ﺃﻭﹰﻻ /ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﳋﺎﺹ ﺑﺎﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻮﺻﻔﻴﺔ ﺑﻌﻴﻨﱵ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ) ﺍﻟﺬﻛﻮﺭ – Maleﺍﻹﻧﺎﺙ . ( Female
ﻭﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺍﺧﺘﻼﻓﹰﺎ ﻇﺎﻫﺮﻳﹰﺎ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﻲ ﻋﻴﻨﱵ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ) ﺍﻟﺬﻛﻮﺭ – ﺍﻹﻧﺎﺙ ( ﰲ ﺻـﺎﱀ
ﺍﻹﻧﺎﺙ ،ﺣﻴﺚ ﺑﻠﻎ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺫﻛﺎﺀ ﺍﻹﻧﺎﺙ ) ( 114ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ﻭﻫﻮ ﺃﻛﱪ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺫﻛـﺎﺀ ﺍﻟـﺬﻛﻮﺭ ) ( 109
ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ .
-ﻻ ﻳﺘﺨﺬ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻱ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ .
-ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ] [ Fﻟﺪﻻﻟـﺔ ﲡـﺎﻧﺲ ﳎﻤـﻮﻋﱵ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧـﺔﻭﻫﻲ ) ( 15.4
ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒ ـﹰﺎ ﺩﺍﻟ ـﺔ ﻋﻨ ـﺪ ﻣ ـﺴﺘﻮﻯ ) ( 0.05ﳑ ـﺎ ﻳﻌ ـﲏ ﺃﻥ ﳎﻤ ـﻮﻋﱵ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧ ـﺔ ﻏ ـﲑ ﻣﺘﺠﺎﻧ ـﺴﺘﲔ
] [ Equal Variances Not Assumedﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺴﻄﺮ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ،ﻭﺑـﺎﻟﻨﻈﺮ
ﰲ ﺍﻟﺴﻄﺮ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﳒﺪ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ) ﺕ ( ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ) ( 1.1ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ﻭﻫﻲ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻏﲑ ﺩﺍﻟـﺔ ﻋﻨـﺪ ﻣـﺴﺘﻮﻯ
) ، ( 0.05ﺣﻴﺚ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ] [ Sigﺍﳌﻘﺘﺮﻧﺔ ﺎ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ) ( 0.27ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ﻭﻫﻲ ﺗﺰﻳﺪ ﻋﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ
ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ .
ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻓﺎﻟﻔﺮﻭﻕ ﺍﻟﻈﺎﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﻲ ﻋﻴﻨﱵ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﻓﺮﻭﻗﹰﺎ ﻟﻴﺴﺖ ﺟﻮﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﻭﺗﺮﺟﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﺪﻓﺔ .
ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ :
ﻧﻘﺒﻞ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ ﻭﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﻨﺺ ﻋﻠﻰ " ﻻ ﳜﺘﻠﻒ ﺫﻛﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﻮﺭ ﻋﻦ ﺫﻛﺎﺀ ﺍﻹﻧﺎﺙ " .
ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺎﺕ :
• ﻻ ﻳﺘﺨﺬ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﺃﻱ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ،ﻷﺎ ﻓﺮﻭﻕ ﻇﺎﻫﺮﻳﺔ .
• ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ) ﺕ ( ﻳﺼﻠﺢ ﻟﻼﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﻻ ﺗﺰﻳﺪ ﻋﻦ ﻋﻴﻨﺘﲔ .
ﻣﻘﺪﻣﺔ
ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﻗﻴﺎﺳﲔ ﻷﺩﺍﺀ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ ) ﺃﺣﺪﳘﺎ ﻗﺒﻠـﻲ ﻭﺍﻵﺧـﺮ ﺑﻌـﺪﻱ ( ،ﻓﻔـﻲ
ﺍﻟﺘﺼﻤﻴﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺜﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﱵ ﻳﺴﺘﻬﺪﻑ ﻓﻴﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻃﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺗﺪﺭﻳﺴﻴﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﻴﺠﻴﺔ ﺗﺪﺭﻳﺴﻴﺔ ﺟﺪﻳـﺪﺓ ﺃﻭ
ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﺞ ﻣﻘﺘﺮﺡ ﰲ ﲢﺴﻦ ﻗﺪﺭﺓ ﻣﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻛﺘﺴﺎﺏ ﻣﻬﺎﺭﺓ ﳏﺪﺩﺓ ،ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻭﺍﺣﺪ ﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺃﺩﺍﺀ ﻋﻴﻨـﺔ
ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﺩﺧﺎﻝ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺜﻲ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺮﻳﱯ ) ﻃﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺗﺪﺭﻳﺴﻴﺔ -ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﺞ -ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﻴﺠﻴﺔ ( . . .ﻭﺑﻌﺪ ﺇﺩﺧـﺎﻝ
ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺜﻲ ) ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺮﻳﱯ ( ﻳﺘﻢ ﺗﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻣﺮﺓ ﺃﺧﺮﻯ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻷﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﳊﺼﻮﻝ
ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻝ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﻤﻴﻢ ﻋﻠﻰ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺘﲔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ،ﺍﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻷﻭﱃ ﰎ ﺍﳊﺼﻮﻝ ﻋﻠﻴﻬـﺎ ﻣـﻦ
ﺍﻟﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻠﻲ ﻟﻼﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ) ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ( ﻭﺍﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻷﺧﺮﻯ ﰎ ﺍﳊﺼﻮﻝ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﻟﺒﻌـﺪﻱ ﻟﻼﺧﺘﺒـﺎﺭ
) ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ( ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺇﺟﺮﺍﺀ ﻭﻋﻘﺪ ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺃﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﻗﺒﻞ ﻭﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﳌـﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺜـﻲ ) ﺍﻟﺘﺠـﺮﻳﱯ (
ﺑﺎﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ) ﺕ ( ﻟﻌﻴﻨﺘﲔ ﻣﺘﺮﺍﺑﻄﺘﲔ ] . [ T - Test For Paired Samples
ﻭﺍﻟﺸﻜﻞ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻳﺒﲔ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﻤﻴﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺜﻴﺔ ﻣﻊ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭﺍﺕ .
ﻭﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺑﺎﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﺍﳊﺰﻣﺔ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺋﻴﺔ ﻟﱪﻧﺎﻣﺞ SPSSﻭﻓﻖ ﺍﳋﻄﻮﺍﺕ ﺍﳌـﺴﺘﺨﺪﻣﺔ ﻣـﻊ
ﺍﻷﻣﺜﻠﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻄﺒﻴﻘﺔ ﺍﻵﺗﻴﺔ :
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ )(1
ﺃﺟﺮﻳﺖ ﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﺪﻯ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻃﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺗﺪﺭﻳﺴﻴﺔ ﺟﺪﻳﺪﺓ ﰲ ﺇﻛﺴﺎﺏ ﺍﻟﻄـﻼﺏ ﺍﳌﻬـﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﻷﺳﺎﺳـﻴﺔ
ﻟﻠﻄﻼﺏ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻘﺪﺭﺓ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﻞ ﺍﳌﺸﻜﻼﺕ ،ﻓﻘﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻳﻘﻴﺲ ﺍﻟﻘﺪﺭﺓ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﻞ ﺍﳌﺸﻜﻼﺕ ﻋﻠﻰ
ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﻋﺸﻮﺍﺋﻴﺔ ﻣﻜﻮﻧﺔ ﻣﻦ ﻋﺪﺩ ) ( 120ﻃﺎﻟﺐ ﻣﻦ ﻃﻼﺏ ﺍﳌﺮﺣﻠﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ ،ﰒ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﻟﻄﺮﻳﻘﺔ
ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺭﻳﺴﻴﺔ ﺍﳉﺪﻳﺪﺓ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﻭﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﻧﺘﻬﺎﺀ ﻣﻦ ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﺍﻟﻄﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺭﻳﺴﻴﺔ ﻭﻓﻘﹰﺎ ﻟﻠﺨﻄﺔ ﺍﻟﺰﻣﻨﻴﺔ ﺍﳌﻘﺮﺭﺓ ﻗﺎﻣـﺖ
ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻣﺮﺓ ﺃﺧﺮﻯ ﺑﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻣﺮﺓ ﺃﺧﺮﻯ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ،ﻭﻗﺪ ﻗﺎﻣـﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳـﺔ ﺑﺘـﺴﺠﻴﻞ
ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺣﺼﻠﺖ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻟﻼﺧﺘﺒـﺎﺭ ﲟـﺴﻤﻰ ] ، [ Presolvingﻭﻛـﺬﻟﻚ
ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺣﺼﻠﺖ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻟﻼﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﲟﺴﻤﻰ ] ، [ Postsolvingﲟﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧـﺎﺕ
] ، [ Compareﻓﺈﺫﺍ ﺗﺒﻨﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
" ﻻ ﳜﺘﻠﻒ ﺃﺩﺍﺀ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻠﻲ ﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﳌﻬﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﻷﺳﺎﺳﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻘﺪﺭﺓ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﻞ ﺍﳌﺸﻜﻼﺕ ﻋـﻦ
ﺃﺩﺍﺋﻬﺎ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻱ ﻟﻨﻔﺲ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ"
ﺍﺧﺘﱪ ﺻﺤﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ﻗﺪﺭﻩ ) ( 0.01ﰲ ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﱵ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗـﺼﻞ ﺇﻟﻴﻬـﺎ
ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻣﺒﻴﻨﹰﺎ ﻣﺪﻯ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻄﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺭﻳﺴﻴﺔ ﺍﳉﺪﻳﺪﺓ .
ﺍﳊﻞ :
-5ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﰲ ﻳﺴﺎﺭﻩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺎﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﺑﻠﻤﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻔﺘﻮﺡ .
-6ﻧﻈﻠﻞ ﻣﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻠﻲ ) ﺩﺭﺟـﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﻄﺒﻴـﻖ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻠـﻲ ﻟﻠﻌﻴﻨـﺔ ﻋﻠـﻰ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒـﺎﺭ ( ﻭﻫـﻮ ﲟـﺴﻤﻰ
] [ Presolvingﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ،ﰒ ﻧﻈﻠﻞ ﻣﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻱ ) ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﻟﺒﻌـﺪﻱ
ﻟﻠﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻭﻫﻮ ﲟﺴﻤﻰ ] [ Postsolvingﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﻧﻔﺲ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ،ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺗﻈﻠﻴـﻞ
ﻣﺘﻐﲑﻱ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻠﻲ ﻭﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻱ ﰲ ﺁﻥ ﻭﺍﺣﺪ .
-7ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳﻂ ﺍﻷﳝﻦ ﻟﻨﻘﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﻥ ﺍﳌﻈﻠﻼﻥ ﺩﻓﻌﺔ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ ﺇﱃ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻼﺕ ﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻥ ﺑــ
] [ Paired-Variablesﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﲢﺪﺙ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻨﻘﻞ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺼﻮﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
] . [ Presolving – Postsolving
-9ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭ ﺁﺧﺮ ﻣﻌﻨﻮﻥ ﺑــ ] [ Paired-Samples T Test : Optionsﻭﺫﻟـﻚ
ﻟﻠﺘﺤﻜﻢ ﰲ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ] [ Confidence Intervalﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ،ﻭﺣﻴﺚ ﺃﻥ ﺍﳌﻄﻠـﻮﺏ ﺍﺧﺘﺒـﺎﺭ
ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ﻗﺪﺭﺓ ) ( 0.01ﻭﻫﻮ ﻣﻘﺘﺮﻥ ﲟﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺛﻘﺔ ﻗﺪﺭﻩ ) ( %0.99ﻓﻴﺠﺐ ﻋﻠﻴﻨﺎ ﺗﻐﻴﲑ
ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﻄﺒﻴﻌﻲ ﻟﻠﱪﻧﺎﻣﺞ ﻣﻦ ) ( %0.95ﺇﱃ ) ( %0.99ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻥ ﺑـ
] . [ Confidence Interval
-10ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﺳﺘﻤﺮ ] . [ Continue
-11ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] [ Okﻟﻠﺤﺼﻮﻝ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺑﺔ ﻭﺑﻴﺎﺎ ﻓﻴﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ :
ﺍﳊﻞ :
ﺃﻭﹰﻻ /ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﳋﺎﺹ ﺑﺈﺣﺼﺎﺀﺍﺕ ﻃﺮﰲ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ) ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻠﻲ ،ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻱ ( :
ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻠﻲ ﺑﻠﻎ ) ( 24.8ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ﺑﻴﻨﻤﺎ ﺑﻠﻎ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ
ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻱ ) ( 27.2ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ،ﻭﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻇﺎﻫﺮﹰﺍ ﺃﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﻓﺮﻭﻗﹰﺎ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺳﲔ ) ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻠﻲ ،ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻱ (
ﰲ ﺻﺎﱀ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻱ .
ﺛﺎﻧﻴﹰﺎ /ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﳋﺎﺹ ﺑﺎﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻃﺎﺕ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺳﲔ ) ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻠﻲ ،ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻱ ( :
ﻭﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺃﻥ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺳﲔ ﺑﻠﻎ ﻗﻴﻤﺘﻪ ) ( 0.09ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ .
ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ) ﺕ ( ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ) ( 1.3ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ﻭﻫﻲ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻏﲑ ﺩﺍﻟـﺔ ﻋﻨـﺪ ﻣـﺴﺘﻮﻯ
) ، ( 0.01ﺣﻴﺚ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ] [ Sigﺍﳌﻘﺘﺮﻧﺔ ﺎ ﺗﺰﻳﺪ ﻋﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ) ، ( 0.01ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻓﺈﻥ
ﺫﻟﻚ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﻭﻕ ﺍﻟﻈﺎﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﻲ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﱵ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﻓﺮﻭﻗﹰﺎ ﻏﲑ ﺟﻮﻫﺮﻳﺔ ) ﺯﺍﺋﻔﺔ ( .
ﻣﻘﺪﻣﺔ :
ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﲢﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﺘﺒﺎﻳﻦ ﺍﻷﺣﺎﺩﻱ ﰲ ﻋﻨﺪ ﺇﺟﺮﺍﺀ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺎﺕ ﺑﲔ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻣﻦ ﻋﻴﻨﺘﲔ ﰲ ﻇﺎﻫﺮﺓ ﻣﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ ﻓﻘﻂ
) ﻣﺘﻐﲑ ﺗﺎﺑﻊ ( ﻭﻓﻘﹰﺎ ﻟﺘﺼﻨﻴﻒ ﺧﺎﺹ ﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺎﺕ ) ﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭﺍﺣﺪ ( ،ﻓﻌﻠﻲ ﺳﺒﻴﻞ ﺍﳌﺜﺎﻝ ﻗﺪ ﲡﺮﻱ ﺑﻌـﺾ
ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺎﺕ ﺑﲔ ﺛﻼﺛﺔ ﺃﻧﻮﺍﻉ ﳐﺘﻠﻔﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺪﺍﺭﺱ ) ﺣﻜﻮﻣﻴﺔ – ﺃﻫﻠﻴﺔ – ﺃﺟﻨﺒﻴﺔ ( ﻣﻦ ﺣﻴﺚ ﺍﳌـﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺘﺤـﺼﻴﻠﻲ
ﻟﻄﻼﺎ ،ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻓﺈﻥ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻫﻮ ﻣﺘﻐﲑ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭﺍﺣﺪ ﻓﻘﻂ ﻫﻮ ) ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺳﺔ ( ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ﻫﻮ ) ﺍﳌـﺴﺘﻮﻯ
ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻠﻲ ( .
ﻭﺍﻟﺸﻜﻞ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻳﻮﺿﺢ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﻤﻴﻢ ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺜﻲ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﻣﻌﻪ ﲢﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﺘﺒﺎﻳﻦ ﺍﻷﺣﺎﺩﻱ
اﺧﺘﺒﺎر
ﺗﺤﺼﯿﻠﻲ
ﺃﺟﺮﻳﺖ ﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﻭﻕ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻷﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﻭﺍﳊﺎﺻﻠﲔ ﻋﻠـﻰ ﺩﺭﺟـﺎﺕ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻴـﺔ ﻋﺎﻟﻴـﺔ
) ﻣﺎﺟﺴﺘﲑ ،ﺩﻛﺘﻮﺭﺍﻩ ( ،ﺍﻷﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﻮﻥ ﻭﺍﳊﺎﺻﻠﻮﻥ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻴـﺔ ) ﺑﻜـﺎﻟﻮﺭﻳﻮﺱ ( ،ﻭﺍﻷﻓـﺮﺍﺩ
ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﺗﻌﻠﻴﻤﺎ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ،ﻭﺍﻷﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﺍﻷﻣﻴﲔ ،ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻘﺪﺭﺓ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻔﻜﲑ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﻗﺪ ،ﻓﻘﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑـﺴﺤﺐ
ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﻣﻦ ﻛﻞ ﻓﺌﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻷﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﺣﺠﻤﻬﺎ ) ( 30ﻓﺮﺩ ﻭﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻳﻘﻴﺲ ﺍﻟﺘﻔﻜﲑ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﻗـﺪ ﻋﻠـﻰ
ﻋﻴﻨﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺍﻷﺭﺑﻊ ،ﻭﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﰲ ﺧﻄﻮﺓ ﺗﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﺑﺘﺴﺠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﺬﺍ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﲢﺖ ﻣـﺴﻤﻰ
] [ Criticalﲟﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ] [ Compareﻛﻤﺎ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺘﺴﺠﻴﻞ ﺍﻷﻛـﻮﺍﺩ ﺍﳋﺎﺻـﺔ ﳌـﺘﻐﲑ
) ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻢ ( ﻟﻌﻴﻨﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺍﻷﺭﺑﻊ ﺑﻨﻔﺲ ﺍﳌﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﲟﺴﻤﻰ ] [ Typeﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻨﺤﻮ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ :
ﺍﻟــﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜــﻮﺩﻱ ) (1ﻟﻌﻴﻨــﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳــﺔ ﻣــﻦ ﺍﳊﺎﺻــﻠﲔ ﻋﻠــﻰ ﻣــﺆﻫﻼﺕ ﺑﻌــﺪ ﺍﳉﺎﻣﻌﻴــﺔ
) ﻣﺎﺟﺴﺘﲑ ،ﺩﻛﺘﻮﺭﺍﻩ ( ] . [ High
ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) (2ﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳊﺎﺻﻠﲔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﺆﻫﻼﺕ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻴﺔ ) ﺑﻜﺎﻟﻮﺭﻳﻮﺱ ( ] . [ Bachel
ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) (3ﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳊﺎﺻﻠﲔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺗﻌﻠﻴﻢ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ] . [ Diploma
ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) (4ﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺍﻷﻣﻴﻨﻦ ] . [ Uneducat
ﻓﺈﺫﺍ ﺍﻗﺘﺮﺣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ:
" ﻻ ﳜﺘﻠﻒ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺘﻔﻜﲑ ﺍﻻﺑﺘﻜﺎﺭﻱ ﺑﺎﺧﺘﻼﻑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻤﻲ "
• ﺍﺧﺘﱪ ﺻﺤﺔ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﰲ ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﱵ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺼﻞ ﺇﻟﻴﻬﺎ ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻻﻟﻪ
ﻗﺪﺭﻩ ) . ( 0.01ﻣﺒﻴﻨﹰﺎ ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺘﺨﺬ ﺑﺸﺄﻥ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ .
• ﻭﻣﺒﻴﻨﺎ ﰲ ﺣﺎﻟﺔ ﺭﻓﺾ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﺪﺩﺓ ﺑﲔ ﻋﻴﻨـﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳـﺔ ﺍﻷﺭﺑـﻊ ﺑﺎﺳـﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ
ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ " ﺗﻮﻛﻲ " ] . [ Tukey
ﺍﳊﻞ :
-1ﻧﻔﺘﺢ ﻣﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ] . [ Compare
-2ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ] [ Analyzeﻣﻦ ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ،ﰒ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﳌﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ.
-3ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻗﺎﺋﻤـﺔ ﺑﺄﲰـﺎﺀ ﳐﺘﻠـﻒ ﺍﻷﺳـﺎﻟﻴﺐ ﺍﻹﺣـﺼﺎﺋﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﱪﻧـﺎﻣﺞ ،ﳔﺘـﺎﺭ ﻣﻨـﻬﺎ ﺍﳋﻴـﺎﺭ .
] . [ Compare Means
-4ﺗﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺧﻴﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﺃﺧﺮﻯ ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﻣﻦ ﺑﻴﻨﻬﺎ ﺧﻴﺎﺭ ] . [ One-Way Anovaﰒ ﻧﻘﻮﻡ ﺑﺎﻟﻀﻐﻂ
ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﳌﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ .
-5ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﰲ ﻳﺴﺎﺭﻩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺎﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﲟﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻔﺘﻮﺡ ،ﳔﺘـﺎﺭ
ﻣﻦ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ) ﺍﻟﺘﻔﻜﲑ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﻗﺪ ( ﻭﻫﻮ ] [ Criticalﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺑﺎﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﺔ ﻣﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ
ﻟﺘﻈﻠﻴﻠﻪ .
ﺇﻋﺪﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﻄﺎﻟﺐ :ﺭﻳﺎﺽ ﺍﳌﻄﺮﰲ twirsh858@[Link] ( 56 )
ﺇﺣﺼﺎﺀ ﺗﺮﺑﻮﻱ 503 ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................ﻧﻔﺲ
-6ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﺍﻷﻭﺳﻂ ﻟﻨﻘﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﻈﻠﻞ ] [ Criticalﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻷﳝـﻦ ﺍﻟﻌﻠـﻮﻱ
ﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻥ ﺑـ ] . [ Dependent List
-7ﻧﻈﻠﻞ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ( ﻭﻫﻮ ] [ Typeﻣﻦ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻴـﺴﺮﻯ ﲟﺮﺑـﻊ
ﺍﳊﻮﺍﺭ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺑﺎﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﳌﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ .
-8ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﻷﻭﺳﻂ ﻟﻨﻘﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﻈﻠﻞ ] [ Typeﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻷﳝﻦ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻥ
ﺑـ ] . [ Factor
-9ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺧﻴﺎﺭ ] [ Optionsﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳊﻮﺍﺭ ﻟﺘﺤﺪﻳﺪ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻮﺻﻔﻲ ﻟﻌﻴﻨﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ.
ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭ ﺁﺧﺮ ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻟﻪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺧﻴﺎﺭ ] . [ Descriptive -10
ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] ) [ Continueﺍﺳﺘﻤﺮ ( . -11
-12ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺧﻴﺎﺭ ] [ Post Hocﻻﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠـﻮﺏ ﻟﻠﻨﺘـﺎﺋﺞ ﻭﻛـﺬﻟﻚ
ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﺳﻮﻑ ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﰲ ﺇﺟﺮﺍﺀ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻳﺔ ﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﺘﺒﺎﻳﻦ .
-13ﻧﻐﲑ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﻟﻄﺒﻴﻌﻲ ﻟﻠﱪﻧـﺎﻣﺞ ﻣـﻦ ) ( 0.05ﺇﱃ ﻣـﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟـﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠـﻮﺏ
ﻭﻫﻮ ) ( 0.01ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻥ ﺑـ ] . [ Significance Level
-14ﻧﻘﻮﻡ ﺑﺎﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻳﺔ ﻛﻤﺎ ﻫﻮ ﻣﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﺑﺎﳌﺴﺄﻟﺔ ﻭﻫﻮ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ] .[ Tukeyﰒ
ﻧﻘــﻮﻡ ﺑﺎﻟــﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴــﻪ ﻟﺘﻨــﺸﻴﻄﻪ ﻭﺫﻟــﻚ ﻣــﻦ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺋﻤــﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻳــﺔ ﲟﺮﺑــﻊ ﺍﳊــﻮﺍﺭ
ﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻧﺔ ﺑـ ] . [ Equal Variances Assumed
-15ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] ) [ Continueﺍﺳﺘﻤﺮ (.
ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] [ okﻟﻠﺤﺼﻮﻝ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺑﺔ ﻭﻫﻲ ﻣﺒﻴﻨﺔ ﻓﻴﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ: -16
ﺍﳊﻞ :
ﺃﻭﹰﻻ /ﺟﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻮﺻﻔﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﻌﻴﻨﺎﺕ ﺍﻷﺭﺑﻊ ) ﺗﻌﻠﻴﻢ ﺭﺍﻕ ،ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻲ ،ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ،ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﺗﻌﻠﻴﻢ ( .
ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺎﺕ ﻋﻴﻨﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ) ﺗﻌﻠﻴﻢ ﺭﺍﻕ ،ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻲ ،ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ،ﺑـﺪﻭﻥ ﺗﻌﻠـﻴﻢ ( ،
) ( 15.9 ) ، ( 28.6 ) ، ( 34.5 ) ، ( 36.6ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺮﺗﻴﺐ .
ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ] [ Fﺑﻠﻐﺖ ) ( 25.3ﻭﻫﻲ ﺩﺍﻟﺔ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ) ( 0.01ﺣﻴﺚ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤـﺔ
] [ Sigﺍﳌﻘﺘﺮﻥ ﺑـﻬﺎ ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ) ﺻﻔﺮ ( ﻭﻫﻲ ﺃﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ،ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻓﻬﻨﺎﻙ ﻓﺮﻭﻗـﹰﺎ
ﺟﻮﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺎﺕ ﺍﻷﺭﺑﻊ ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺘﻔﻜﲑ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﻗﺪ .
ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ :
ﰲ ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻧﺮﻓﺾ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ ﻭﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﻨﺺ :
" ﻻ ﳜﺘﻠﻒ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺘﻔﻜﲑ ﺍﻻﺑﺘﻜﺎﺭﻱ ﺑﺎﺧﺘﻼﻑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻤﻲ "
ﻣﻘﺪﻣﺔ
ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻷﺳﻠﻮﺏ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒﺆﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﱵ ﲡﺮﻯ ﻣﻦ ﺃﺟﻞ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒﺆ ﺑﻈﺎﻫﺮﺓ ﻣﻌﻴﻨﺔ ) ﻣﺘﻨﺒﺄ ﺎ ( ﻣـﻦ
ﺧﻼﻝ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻌﻮﺍﻣﻞ ﺍﳌﻔﺘﺮﺽ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺴﻬﻢ ﰲ ﺣﺪﻭﺛﻬﺎ ) ﺍﳌﻨﺒﺌﺎﺕ( ﻓﻤﺜﻼ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒـﺆ ﻟﻠﻄﺎﻟـﺐ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺠـﺎﺡ
ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻔﻮﻕ ﰲ ﺇﺣﺪﻯ ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﳉﺎﻣﻌﻴﺔ ﺑﻨﺎ ًﺀ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺗﻪ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺣﺼﻞ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﰲ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﺑﻌﺾ ﺍﳌـﻮﺍﺩ ﺑﺎﻣﺘﺤـﺎﻥ
ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻮﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻣﺔ ،ﻭﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒﺆ ﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒﺆ ﺑﻨﺠﺎﺡ ﺑﻌﺾ ﺍﳌﺘﻘﺪﻣﲔ ﻟﺸﻐﻞ ﻣﻬﻨﺔ ﻣﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﺑﻨﺎﺀ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﻢ ﺍﳊﺎﺻﻠﲔ
ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﰲ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻮﻝ ﳍﺬ ﺍﳌﻬﻨﺔ . . .ﻭﻫﻜﺬﺍ ،ﻭﺗﺘﻌﺪﺩ ﻭﺗﺘﻨﻮﻉ ﺃﺳﺎﻟﻴﺐ ﲢﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻻﳓﺪﺍﺭ . .ﻭﻟﻜﻦ ﺳـﻮﻑ
ﻳﻜﺘﻔﻰ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﺘﻨﺎﻭﻝ ﻧﻮﻉ ﻭﺍﺣﺪ ﻣﻨﻬﺎ ﻭﻫﻮ ﺍﻻﳓﺪﺍﺭ ﺍﳋﻄﻲ ﺍﻟﺒﺴﻴﻂ ] . [ Linear Regression
.1ﺃﻥ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺗﻮﺯﻳﻊ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ﺗﻮﺯﻳﻌﺎ ﺍﻋﺘﺪﺍﻟﻴﺎ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻛﻞ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻳﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ.
.2ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ) ﺍﳌﻨﺒﺊ ( ﻻ ﻳﻘﻴﺪ ﲟﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﻣﻌﲔ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻳﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ.
.3ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻨﺒﺄ ﺑﻪ ( ﻣﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺮﻱ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﻨﺴﱯ.
ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﰲ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻻﳓﺪﺍﺭ ﻣﺘﻐﲑ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭﺍﺣﺪ ﻓﻘﻂ ،ﻭﺍﳌﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒﺆﻳﺔ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻻﳓـﺪﺍﺭ
ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻨﺤﻮ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ:
ﺹ=ﺏ+ﺃﺱ
ﺣﻴﺚ ﺹ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻨﺒﺄ ﺑﻪ ( .
ﺣﻴﺚ ﺱ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ )ﺍﳌﻨﺒﺊ ( .
ﺣﻴﺚ ﺃ ﻫﻮ ﺍﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﺍﻟﱵ ﻳﺴﻬﻢ ﺎ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﰲ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ .
ﺣﻴﺚ ﺏ ﺛﺎﺑﺖ ﺍﳌﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ .
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ) : ( 1
ﺃﺟﺮﻳﺖ ﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﺪﻯ ﺍﺳﻬﺎﻡ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒﺆ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺳﻲ ﻓﻘﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ
ﻋﺸﻮﺍﺋﻴﺔ ﻗﺪﺭﻫﺎ ) ( 120ﻓﺮﺩ ﻣﻦ ﻃﻼﺏ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻢ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﰒ ﻃﺒﻘﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﰲ ﺧﻄﻮﺓ ﺗﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭﺍﻥ ﺃﺣﺪﳘﺎ ﻳﻘـﻴﺲ
ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ﻭﺍﻷﺧﺮ ﻳﻘﻴﺲ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ،ﻭﻗﺪ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺘﺴﺠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺣﺼﻠﺖ ﻋﻠﻴﻬـﺎ ﲟﻠـﻒ
] [ Compareﲢﺖ ﻣﺴﻤﻴﺎﺕ ] [ Intelﻟﻠﺬﻛﺎﺀ [ Achevment] ،ﻟﻠﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ .
ﻓﺈﺫﺍ ﺗﺒﻨﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
" ﻻ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒﺆ ﺑﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﻲ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻝ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﻢ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ "
ﺍﺧﺘﱪ ﺻﺤﺔ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ﻗﺪﺭﻩ ) ( 0.05ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﱵ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺻﻞ ﺇﻟﻴﻬﺎ.
ﺍﳊﻞ :
.1ﻓﺘﺢ ﻣﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ] . [ Compare
.2ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺃﻣﺮ ] [ Analyzeﻣﻦ ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﰒ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﳌﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ.
.3ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ] ) [ Regressionﺍﳓﺪﺍﺭ ( ﰒ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﳌﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ .
.4ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﲡﺔ ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ] ) [ Linearﺍﳓﺪﺍﺭ ﺧﻄﻲ ( .
.5ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﰲ ﻳﺴﺎﺭﻩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺎﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﲟﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻔﺘﻮﺡ .
ﳓﺪﺩ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ﻭﻫﻮ ] ) [ Achevmentﺍﳌﺘﻨﺒﺄ ﺑﻪ – ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ( -ﰒ ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﻟﺘﻈﻠﻴﻠﻪ . .6
ﺍﻟــﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠــﻰ ﺍﻟــﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳــﻂ ﺍﻟﻌﻠــﻮﻱ ﻟﻨﻘﻠــﻪ ﺇﱃ ﻣﺮﺑــﻊ ﺍﳌــﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘــﺎﺑﻊ ﺍﳌﻌﻨــﻮﻥ .7
ﺑـ ] . [ Dependent
ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭﻫﻮ ] ) [ Intelgﺍﳌﻨﺒﺊ – ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ( -ﻟﺘﻈﻠﻴﻠﺔ. .8
ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻟﻨﻘﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌـﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﺍﳌـﻀﻠﻞ ﺇﱃ ﻣﺮﺑـﻊ ﺍﳌـﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌـﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﺍﳌﻌﻨـﻮﻥ .9
ﺑـ ] ).[ Independent(s
ﻧﻼﺣﻆ ﺃﻥ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﻲ ) ( 27.5ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ،ﻛﻤﺎ ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﺃﻥ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺩﺭﺟـﺎﺕ
ﺫﻛﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ) ( 101.5ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ .
ﺛﺎﻧﻴﹰﺎ /ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ) ﺍﳌﻨﺒﺊ ( ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ،ﻭﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻨﺒﺄ ﺑﻪ ( ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﻲ .
ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺍﳌﻨﺒﺊ ﻭﺍﳌﺘﻨﺒﺄ ﺑﻪ ﻳﺴﺎﻭﻱ ) ( 0.016ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﻃﺮﺩﻳﺔ ﺿﻌﻴﻔﺔ .
ﻳﻼﺣﻆ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺃﻥ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ = ﺻﻔﺮ ) ( 0.000ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﻧﺴﺒﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺒـﺎﻳﻦ ﰲ ﻇـﺎﻫﺮﺓ
ﺍﳌﺘﻨﺒﺄ ﺎ ،ﻭﻫﻲ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﻲ ﻭﺍﻟﱵ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺮﺟﻊ ﺃﻭ ﺗﻔﺴﺮ ﺑﺎﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ) ﺍﳌﻨﺒﺊ ( = ﺻﻔﺮ .
ﻧﻼﺣﻆ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ) ﻑ ( ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ) ( 0.032ﻭﻫﻲ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻏﲑ ﺩﺍﻟﺔ ،ﺣﻴﺚ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟـﺔ
] [ Sigﺍﳌﻘﺘﺮﻧﺔ ﺎ ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ) ( 0.859ﻭﻫﻲ ﺃﻛﱪ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﻭﻫﻮ ) ( 0.05ﳑﺎ
ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﻋﺪﻡ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺇﳓﺪﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﻝ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ) ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ( ﻭﻫﻮ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ،ﻭﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ) ﺍﻟﺘـﺎﺑﻊ ( ﻭﻫـﻮ ﺍﻟﺘﺤـﺼﻴﻞ
ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﻲ .
ﺇﻋﺪﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﻄﺎﻟﺐ :ﺭﻳﺎﺽ ﺍﳌﻄﺮﰲ twirsh858@[Link] ( 66 )
ﺇﺣﺼﺎﺀ ﺗﺮﺑﻮﻱ 503 ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................ﻧﻔﺲ
ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻻ ﺗﻮﺟﺪ ﺇﻣﻜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﺘﻨﺒﺆ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﻲ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻝ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺫﻛﺎﺀ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ .
ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ :
ﰲ ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻧﻘﺒﻞ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ ﻭﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﻨﺺ ﻋﻠﻰ " :ﻻ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒﺆ ﺑﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ
ﰲ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﻲ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻝ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﻢ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ " .
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ :
ﺃﺟﺮﻳﺖ ﺇﺣﺪﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺎﺕ ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺇﻣﻜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒﺆ ﺑﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻝ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ،ﻓﻘﺎﻣﺖ
ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺎﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺣﺠﻤﻬﺎ ) ( 60ﻃﺎﻟﺐ ﻣﻦ ﺷﻌﺒﺔ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﺘﺮﺑﻮﻱ ،ﰒ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﰲ ﺧﻄﻮﺓ ﺗﺎﻟﻴـﺔ
ﺑﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭﻳﻦ ؛ ﺃﺣﺪﳘﺎ ﻟﻺﺣﺼﺎﺀ ﻭﺍﻵﺧﺮ ﻟﻠﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ،ﻭﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺑﺮﺻﺪ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺣﺼﻠﺖ
ﻋﻠﻴﻬــﺎ ﲟﻠــﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧــﺎﺕ ] [ Examﲢــﺖ ﻣــﺴﻤﻰ ] [ Statisticﻻﺧﺘﺒــﺎﺭ ﺍﻹﺣــﺼﺎﺀ ،
ﻭﻣﺴﻤﻰ ] [ Motiveﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ .
ﻓﺈﺫﺍ ﺗﺒﻨﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﻘﻮﻝ ﺑﺄﻧﻪ :
" ﻻﺗﻮﺟﺪ ﺇﻣﻜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﺘﻨﺒﺆ ﺑﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻝ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﻢ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ " .
ﻓﺎﺧﺘﱪ ﺻﺤﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ﻗﺪﺭﻩ ) ( 0.01ﻣﺒﻴﻨﹰﺎ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﳚﺐ ﺍﲣﺎﺫﻩ -
ﺑﺸﺄﻥ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ،ﻭﰲ ﺣﺎﻟﺔ ﺇﻣﻜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒﺆ ،ﻣﺎ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﺍﻟﱵ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﳛﺼﻞ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﻄﺎﻟـﺐ ﰲ
ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﺩﺭﺟﺘﻪ ﰲ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ) . ( 35
ﺍﳊﻞ :
-ﻧﺘﺒﻊ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﳋﻄﻮﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺬﻛﻮﺭﺓ ﺑﺎﳌﺜﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ،ﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺻﻞ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
ﻧﻼﺣﻆ ﺃﻥ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻷﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﰲ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀ ) ( 14ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ،ﻛﻤﺎ ﺑﻠﻎ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻷﻓـﺮﺍﺩ
ﰲ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ) ( 14ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ .
ﺛﺎﻧﻴﹰﺎ /ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ) ﺍﳌﻨﺒﺊ ( ﻭﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻨﺒﺄ ﺑﻪ ( .
ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ] : [ Correlations
ﺑﻠﻎ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺑﲔ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ) ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ( ﻭﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ) ﺍﻹﺣـﺼﺎﺀ ( ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟـﺔ ) ( 1
ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ،ﳑﺎ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﻃﺮﺩﻳﺔ ﻗﻮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﻨﺒﺊ ) ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ( ﻭﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﻨﺒﺄ ﺑﻪ ) ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀ ( .
ﻣﻼﺣ ﻈﺔ :
.1ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﻓﻴﻪ ﺗﻨﺒﺆ ﻳﻌﲏ ﺫﻟﻚ ﺃﺎ ﺩﺍﻟﺔ .
.2ﺍﳌﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ ﻻ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺗﻜﻮﻳﻨﻬﺎ ﺇﻻ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﺍﻻﳓﺪﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﻟﺔ .
ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺃﻥ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ] ( 0.994 ) [ [Link]ﳑﺎ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﻧﺴﺒﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺒﺎﻳﻦ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻈﺎﻫﺮﺓ ﺍﳌﺘﻨﺒﺄ
ﺎ ) ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀ ( ﺍﻟﱵ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻌﺰﻯ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ﺣﻴﺚ ﺗﺼﻞ ﻗﻴﻤﺘﻬﺎ ﺇﱃ ﻧﺴﺒﺔ % 100ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ .
ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ] ( 9300 ) [ Fﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ﻫﻲ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺩﺍﻟﺔ ،ﺣﻴﺚ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻘﺘﺮﻧﺔ ـﺎ
] [ Sigﺑﻠﻐﺖ ) ( 0.000ﻭﻫﻲ ﺗﻘﻞ ﻋﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﻭﻫﻮ ) ( 0.01ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻓﺈﻥ ﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺸﲑ
ﺇﱃ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺍﳓﺪﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﻝ ﻟﻠﻤﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ) ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ( ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ) ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀ ( .
ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻓﺈﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﺇﻣﻜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﺘﻨﺒﺆ ﺑﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻝ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ .
ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ :
ﰲ ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻧﺮﻓﺾ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ ﻭﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﻨﺺ ﻋﻠﻰ :
" ﻻﺗﻮﺟﺪ ﺇﻣﻜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﺘﻨﺒﺆ ﺑﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻝ ﺩﺭﺟﺎﻢ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ " .
ﺹ=ﺏ+ﺃﺱ
ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﺛﺎﺑﺖ ﺍﳌﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒﺆﻳﺔ ﻫﻮ :
] ( - 0.02 ) = [ Constantﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ،ﻭﻫﻮ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺏ ﻛﻤﺎ ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻥ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﺇﺳﻬﺎﻡ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺘﻨﺒﺊ
ﻫﻮ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ] [ Motiveﻭﻫﻮ ) ﺃ ( ﰲ ﺍﳌﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒﺆﻳﺔ ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺘـﻪ ) ( 1.003ﻳﻌـﲏ ) ( 1ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒـﹰﺎ ،
ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ
ﻓﺈﻥ ﺍﳌﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒﺆﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻮﻳﺾ ﻋﻦ ﻗﻴﻢ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺜﻮﺍﺑﺖ ﺗﺼﺒﺢ ﻛﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ :
ﺹ = ) * 1 + ( - 0.02ﺱ
ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﻌﻮﺽ ﻋﻦ ﺱ = 35 ﺹ = ) + ( - 0.02ﺱ
ﺹ = ) 35 + ( - 0.02
ﺹ = 34.98ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻨﺒﺄ ﺎ ﻟﻠﻄﺎﻟﺐ ﰲ ﺍﻹﺣﺼﺎﺀ .
ﻣﻘﺪﻣﺔ :
ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻷﺳﻠﻮﺏ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺘﻢ ﺑﺘﺤﺪﻳﺪ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ،ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴـﺔ
ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ،ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﳉﻨﺲ ) ﺫﻛﺮ – ﺃﻧﺜﻰ ( ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺨﺼﺺ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﻲ . . .ﻭﻫﻜﺬﺍ ﻭﳝﻜﻦ ﲢﺪﻳﺪ ﻧﻮﻉ ﻭﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗـﺔ
ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻼﺕ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ .
ﳝﻜﻦ ﺇﳚﺎﺩ ﻧﻮﻉ ﻭﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﻳﻴﺲ ﺍﳌﻨﺎﺳﺒﺔ ﻭﻓﻘﹰﺎ ﻟﻠﺤﺎﻻﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﻛﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻜﻤﻲ ﺍﳌﺘﺼﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﻴﻨﻬﻤﺎ ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﺧﻄﻴﺔ ،ﰲ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﳊﺎﻟﺔ
ﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺑﲑﺳﻮﻥ ] [ Personﺃﻭ ﺳﺒﲑﻣﺎﻥ ] [ Spearmanﰲ ﲢﺪﻳﺪ ﻧﻮﻉ ﻭﻗـﻮﺓ
ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ .
ﻭﻳﻮﺿﺢ ﺍﻟﺸﻜﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻧﻘﺎﻁ ﺍﻟﺘﻤﺜﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﱐ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﻌﱪ ﻋﻦ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺍﳋﻄﻴﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ) ﺱ ،ﺹ ( ﻭﻫﻲ ﺍﻟﻨﻘﺎﻁ
ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺍﻟﺸﻜﻞ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﻭﻱ ﺃﻡ ﺷﻜﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﳝﺜﻠﻬﺎ ﺍﳋﻂ ﺍﻟﻮﳘﻲ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﳝﺮ ﺑﻘﻄﺮ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺸﻜﻞ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﻭﻱ .
ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﻛﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻜﻤﻲ ﺍﳌﺘﺼﻞ ﺃﻭ ﺃﺣﺪﳘﺎ ﻭﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﻴﻨﻬﻤﺎ ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﻏﲑ ﺧﻄﻴﺔ ،
ﺃﻭ ﻛﺎﻥ ﻛﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﻨﻴﻔﻲ ﻓﻔﻲ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﳊﺎﻟﺔ ﳝﻜﻦ ﲢﺪﻳﺪ ﻧﻮﻉ ﻭﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗـﺔ ﺑـﲔ ﺍﳌـﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ
ﺑﺎﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﻓﻖ ] . [ Contingency Coefficient
ﻭﳝﻜﻦ ﺗﻌﻴﲔ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻴﺎﺭ ] [ Crosstabs Statisticsﻭﻓﻘﹰﺎ ﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﻛﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ﻛﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ :
ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﺍﺣﺪ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ﺍﲰﻲ ﻭﺍﻵﺧﺮ ﻓﺘﺮﻱ ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ) . ( Eta -3
ﳝﻜﻦ ﲢﺪﻳﺪ ﻧﻮﻉ ﻭﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﺗﺒﺎﻉ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺍﻋﺪ ﺍﳌﻮﺿﺤﺔ ﻓﻴﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ :
§ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ) ﺭ ( ﻣﻮﺟﺒﺔ ﺩﻝ ﺫﻟﻚ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﻃﺮﺩﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ .
§ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ) ﺭ ( ﺍﳌﻮﺟﺒﺔ ﺃﻛﱪ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻭ ﺗﺴﺎﻭﻱ ) (0.5ﺩﻝ ﺫﻟﻚ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ
ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﻃﺮﺩﻳﺔ ﻗﻮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ .
§ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ) ﺭ ( ﺍﳌﻮﺟﺒﺔ ﺃﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ) (0.5ﺩﻝ ﺫﻟﻚ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﻃﺮﺩﻳﺔ
ﺿﻌﻴﻔﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ .
§ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ )ﺭ ( ﺍﳌﻮﺟﺒﺔ = +1ﻓﻴﻘﺎﻝ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﻃﺮﺩﻳﺔ ﺗﺎﻣﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ.
§ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ) ﺭ ( ﺳﺎﻟﺒﺔ ﺩﻝ ﺫﻟﻚ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﻋﻜﺴﻴﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ .
§ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ) ﺭ ( ﺳﺎﻟﺒﺔ ﻭﺃﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻭ ﺗﺴﺎﻭﻱ ) ( -0.5ﺩﻝ ﺫﻟﻚ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ
ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﻋﻜﺴﻴﺔ ﻗﻮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ :
§ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ) ﺭ ( ﺳﺎﻟﺒﺔ ﻭﺃﻛﱪ ﻣﻦ ) ( -0.5ﺩﻝ ﺫﻟﻚ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﻋﻜﺴﻴﺔ
ﺿﻌﻴﻔﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ :
§ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ) ﺭ ( ﺍﳌﻮﺟﺒﺔ = -1ﻓﻴﻘﺎﻝ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﻋﻜﺴﻴﺔ ﺗﺎﻣﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ .
ﻭﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻳﻮﺿﺢ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ) ﺭ ( ﻭﻧﻮﻉ ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ :
ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ
ﻋﻜﺴﻴﺔ ﻃﺮﺩﻳﺔ
ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ
ﺭ = ﺻﻔﺮ ﺻﻔﺮﻳﺔ
ﻣﻼﺣ ﻈﺔ ) : ( 1
ﳝﻜﻦ ﺇﳚﺎﺩ ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺍﳉﺰﺋﻲ ﻭﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﰎ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺍﻋﺪ ﺍﳌﺬﻛﻮﺭﺓ ﺳﺎﺑﻘﺎ .
ﻣﻼﺣ ﻈﺔ ) : ( 2
ﳝﻜﻦ ﺗﺄﺛﲑ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﺒﻌﺪ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺍﳉﺰﺋﻴﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ) ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭﺗﺎﺑﻊ (ﻛﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ :
ﺇﳚﺎﺩ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺑﲑﺳﻮﻥ ] [ Personﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ . ﺃ-
ﺏ -ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺑﲑﺳﻮﻥ ] [ Personﲟﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺍﳉﺰﺋﻲ ﻭﺍﳊﻜﻢ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﻮﺓ ﺗـﺄﺛﲑ
ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﳌﺴﺘﺒﻌﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ﻛﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ :
• ﺇﺫﺍ ﻗﻠﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺍﳉﺰﺋﻲ ﻋﻦ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺑﲑﺳﻮﻥ ] [ Personﻓﻬﺬﺍ ﻳﻌﲏ ﺃﻥ ﺍﳌـﺘﻐﲑ
ﺍﳌﺴﺘﺒﻌﺪ ﻛﺎﻥ ﳍﺎ ﺗﺄﺛﲑﹰﺍ ﺇﳚﺎﺑﻴﹰﺎ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ) ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ( .
• ﺇﺫﺍ ﺯﺍﺩﺕ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺍﳉﺰﺋﻲ ﻋﻦ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺑﲑﺳﻮﻥ ] [ Personﻓﻬﺬﺍ ﻳﻌﲏ ﺍﻥ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ
ﺍﳌﺴﺘﺒﻌﺪ ﻛﺎﻥ ﳍﺎ ﺗﺄﺛﲑﹰﺍ ﺳﻠﺒﻴﹰﺎ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ) ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ( .
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ) ( 1
ﺃﺟﺮﻳﺖ ﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ﻭ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺳﻲ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﺳﺘﺒﻌﺎﺩ ﺃﺛﺮ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ،
ﻓﻘﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﻋﺸﻮﺍﺋﻴﺔ ﻗﺪﺭﻫﺎ ) ( 120ﻓﺮﺩ ﻣﻦ ﻃﻼﺏ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻢ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﰒ ﻃﺒﻘﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﰲ
ﺧﻄﻮﺓ ﺗﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﺛﻼﺛﺔ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﺃﺣﺪﺍﻫﺎ ﻳﻘﻴﺲ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ﻭﺍﻷﺧﺮ ﻳﻘﻴﺲ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻘﻴﺲ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻓﺮﺍﺩ
ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ،ﻭﻗﺪ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺘﺴﺠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺣﺼﻠﺖ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﲟﻠﻒ ] [ Compare1ﲢﺖ ﻣﺴﻤﻴﺎﺕ
] [ Intelﻟﻠﺬﻛﺎﺀ [ Achevment ] ،ﻟﻠﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ [ Motive ] ،ﻟﻠﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ .
ﺍﳊﻞ :
ﻓﺘﺢ ﻣﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ] . [ Compare1 .1
ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺃﻣﺮ ] [ Analyzeﻣﻦ ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﰒ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﳌﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ . .2
ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ] [ Correlateﰒ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﳌﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ . .3
ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﺧﻴﺎﺭ ] . [ Partial .4
.5ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﰲ ﻳﺴﺎﺭﻩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺎﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﲟﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻔﺘﻮﺡ .
.6ﳓﺪﺩ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ )ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ( ﻣﻦ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﻭﻫﻮ ] [ Intelﰒ ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﻟﺘﻈﻠﻴﻠﻪ .
.7ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳﻂ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﻟﻨﻘﻠﻪ ﺇﱃ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻥ ﺑـ ] . [ Variables
.8ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ) ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ( ] [ Achevmentﻣﻦ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﻟﺘﻈﻠﻴﻠﺔ .
.9ﺗﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﻟﻨﻘﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ﺍﳌﻀﻠﻞ ﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻥ ﺑـ ] .[ Variables
.10ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺮﺍﺩ ﺍﺳﺘﺒﻌﺎﺩ ﺃﺛﺮﻩ ) ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ( ﻭﻫﻮ ] [ Motiveﻣﻦ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﻟﺘﻈﻠﻴﻠﺔ .
.11ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳﻂ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﻟﻨﻘﻠﻪ ﺇﱃ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻜﻢ ﰲ ﺃﺛﺮ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻥ
ﺑـ ] . [ Controlling For
ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﺃﻥ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺍﳉﺰﺋﻲ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﻲ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﺳﺘﺒﻌﺎﺩ ﺃﺛﺮ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ
= ) ( 0.02ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ،ﳑﺎ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﻃﺮﺩﻳﺔ ﺿﻌﻴﻔﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ .
.13ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺃﻣﺮ ] [ Analyzeﻣﻦ ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﰒ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﳌﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ .
.14ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ] [ Correlateﰒ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﳌﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ .
.15ﳔﺘﺎﺭ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﺧﻴﺎﺭ ] . [ Bivariate
.16ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﰲ ﻳﺴﺎﺭﻩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺎﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﲟﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻔﺘﻮﺡ .
.17ﳓﺪﺩ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ) ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ( ﻣﻦ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﻭﻫﻮ ] [ Intelﰒ ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﻟﺘﻈﻠﻴﻠﻪ .
.18ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳﻂ ﻟﻨﻘﻠﻪ ﺇﱃ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻥ ﺑـ ] . [Variables
.19ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ) ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ( ] [ Achevmentﻣﻦ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﻟﺘﻈﻠﻴﻠﺔ .
.20ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳﻂ ﻟﻨﻘﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ﺍﳌﻀﻠﻞ ﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻥ ﺑـ ] .[ Variables
.21ﺍﻟﺘﻈﻠﻴﻞ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺧﻴﺎﺭ ] [ Pearsonﻟﺘﻨﺸﻴﻄﻪ .
* ﺗﺄﺛﲑ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﺒﻌﺪ ) ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ( ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ) ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ( :
ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﺒﻌﺪ ﻟﻴﺲ ﻟﻪ ﺃﻱ ﺗﺄﺛﲑ ) ﻋﺪﱘ ﺍﻟﺘﺄﺛﲑ ( ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ) ﺍﻟﺬﻛﺎﺀ ،ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ( .
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ) : ( 2
ﺍﺟﺮﻳﺖ ﺇﺣﺪﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺎﺕ ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻘﺪﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﻮﻳﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﰲ ﻣﺎﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﺮﺑﻴﺔ ،ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﺳﺘﺒﻌﺎﺩ ﺃﺛﺮ
ﻣﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ،ﻓﻘﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺣﺠﻤﻬﺎ ) ( 120ﻃﻔﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺮﺣﻠﺔ ﺍﻻﺑﺘﺪﺍﺋﻴﺔ ،ﰒ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﰲ ﺧﻄﻮﺓ ﺗﺎﻟﻴﺔ
ﺑﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺛﻼﺛﺔ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻭﻫﻲ :
) ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻳﻘﻴﺲ ﺍﻟﻘﺪﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﻮﻳﺔ ،ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻳﻘﻴﺲ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻠﻲ ﰲ ﻣﺎﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﺮﺑﻴﺔ ،ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻳﻘﻴﺲ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ
ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ( ،ﰒ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺮﺻﺪ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﱵ ﰎ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺻﻞ ﺇﻟﻴﻬﺎ ﲟﻠﻒ ] [ Compare1ﲢﺖ ﻣﺴﻤﻴﺎﺕ
] [ Langusticﻟﻠﻘﺪﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﻮﻳﺔ [ Arabic ] ،ﻟﻠﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﺮﺑﻴﺔ [ Motive ] ،ﻟﻠﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ .
.1ﺃﻭﺟﺪ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺍﳉﺰﺋﻲ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻐﲑﻱ ) ﺍﻟﻘﺪﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﻮﻳﺔ ﻭﺍﳌﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻠﻲ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﺮﺑﻴﺔ ( ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﺳﺘﺒﻌﺎﺩ
ﺃﺛﺮ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ .
.2ﺣﺪﺩ ﺃﺛﺮ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﺒﻌﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ .
ﺍﳊﻞ :
ﻧﺘﺒﻊ ﻧﻔﺲ ﻃﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺣﻞ ﺍﳌﺜﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ – ﻣﻊ ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺑﺔ ﰲ ﺍﳌﺜﺎﻝ -ﻟﻠﺤﺼﻮﻝ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
ﺃﻭ ﹰﻻ /ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﲟﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺍﳉﺰﺋﻲ :
ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺍﳉﺰﺋﻲ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺣﺬﻑ ﺃﺛﺮ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﻴﺔ ؛ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ) ( 0.09ﳑﺎ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﻃﺮﺩﻳﺔ
ﺿﻌﻴﻔﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻘﺪﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﻮﻳﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﰲ ﻣﺎﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﺮﺑﻴﺔ .
ﺃﻇﻬﺮﺕ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺃﻥ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺍﻟﺜﻨﺎﺋﻲ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻘﺪﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﻮﻳﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﰲ ﻣﺎﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﺮﺑﻴﺔ ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ) ( 0.12
ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ .
ﺃﻣﺎ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ] [ Sigﺃﻛﱪ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﻓﻬﺬﺍ ﻳﻌﲏ ﻋﺪﻡ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻓﺮﻭﻗﹰﺎ ﺟﻮﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﳎﻤﻮﻉ
ﺍﻟﺮﺗﺐ ﻟﻌﻴﻨﱵ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﻭﻧﻘﺒﻞ ﺣﻴﻨﺌ ﺬ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ .
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ )(1
ﺃﺟﺮﻳﺖ ﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻃﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺗﺪﺭﻳﺴﻴﺔ ﻟﻸﻃﻔﺎﻝ ﻣﻦ ﺫﻭﻱ ﺍﻻﺣﺘﻴﺎﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﰲ ﺗﻌﻠﻢ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﺔ ،
ﻓﻘﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﻴﻨﺘﲔ ﺇﺣﺪﺍﻫﺎ ﺿﺎﺑﻄﺔ ﻭﺍﻷﺧﺮﻯ ﲡﺮﻳﺒﻴﺔ ﻭﺣﺠﻢ ﻛﻞ ﻣﻨﻬﻤﺎ ) ( 20ﻓﺮﺩ ﻭﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ
ﺑﺎﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﺍﻟﻄﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺭﻳﺴﻴﺔ ﺍﳉﺪﻳﺪﺓ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺮﻳﺒﻴﺔ ﻓﻘﻂ ﰒ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺑﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﰲ
ﺗﻌﻠﻢ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻛﻞ ﻣﻦ ﻋﻴﻨﱵ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﰒ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺑﺘﺴﺠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﳋﺎﺻـﺔ ﺑـﺎﻟﻌﻴﻨﺘﲔ ﻋﻠـﻰ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒـﺎﺭ ﲟﻠـﻒ
] [ nonparametricﲢﺖ ﻣﺴﻤﻴﺎﺕ ] [ languageﰒ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺈﺩﺧﺎﻝ ﻣﺘﻐﲑﺍ ﻛﻮﺩﻳﺎ ﲟﺴﻤﻰ
] [ gﺑﻨﻔﺲ ﺍﳌﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﻹﺩﺧﺎﻝ ﺍﻷﻛﻮﺍﺩ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﺎﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﻀﺎﺑﻄﺔ ﻭﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﺍﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺮﻳﺒﻴﺔ ﻋﻠـﻰ
ﺍﻟﻨﺤﻮ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ :
ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 1ﻟﻠﻤﺠﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﻀﺎﺑﻄﺔ ] . [ cont
ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 2ﻟﻠﻤﺠﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺮﻳﺒﻴﺔ ] . [ exp
ﻓﺈﺫﺍ ﺗﺒﻨﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
" ﻻ ﺗﻮﺟﺪ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﻄﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺭﻳﺴﻴﺔ ﺍﳉﺪﻳﺪﺓ ﰲ ﺗﻌﻠﻢ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﺔ "
ﺍﺧﺘﱪ ﺻﺤﺔ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ) ( 0.05ﰲ ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﱵ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﲢﺼﻞ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ،ﻣﺒﻴﻨﹰﺎ ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ
ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﳚﺐ ﺍﲣﺎﺫﻩ ﺑﺸﺄﻥ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ .
ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﰲ ﻳﺴﺎﺭﻩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺄﲰﺎﺀ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﲟﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻔﺘﻮﺡ ﻧﻈﻠﻞ ﻣﻨﻪ .4
ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ﻭﻫﻮ ﺗﻌﻠﻢ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﺔ ] . [ language
ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳﻂ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﻟﻨﻘﻠﻪ ﻏﻠﻰ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻷﳝﻦ ﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻥ ﺑـ ] [ Test Variable List .5
) ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﻣﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ( .
ﻧﻈﻠﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭﻫﻮﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ] . [ g .6
ﻧــﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠــﻰ ﺍﻟــﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳــﻂ ﺍﻟــﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﻟﻨﻘﻠــﻪ ﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑــﻊ ﺍﻷﳝــﻦ ﺍﻟــﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﳌﻌﻨــﻮﻥ .7
ﺑـ ] ) [ Grouping Variableﻣﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻤﻮﻋﺎﺕ ( .
ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] ) [ Define Groupsﺍﻟﺘﻌﺮﻳﻒ ﺑﺎﻤﻮﻋﺎﺕ ( . .8
.13ﺗﻨﺸﻴﻂ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻣﺎﻥ ﻭﻳﻨﺘﲏ ] [ Mann-Whitneyﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺑﺎﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ) ﻭﻫﻮ ﻣﻨﺸﻂ ﺑﻄﺒﻴﻌﺔ ﺍﳊﺎﻝ
ﻷﻧﻪ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻄﺒﻴﻌﻲ ﻟﻠﱪﻧﺎﻣﺞ ( ﺇﺫﺍ ﱂ ﻳﺬﻛﺮ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺁﺧﺮ ﲞﻼﻑ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻣﺎﻥ ﻭﻳﺘﲏ .
.14ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] ) [ okﻣﻮﺍﻓﻖ ( ﻟﻠﺤﺼﻮﻝ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
ﺍﳊﻞ :
ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﳎﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﺮﺗﺐ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﺎﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺮﻳﺒﻴﺔ ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺘﻪ ) ( 580ﻭﻫﻮ ﻳﺰﻳﺪ ﻋـﻦ
ﳎﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﺮﺗﺐ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﺎﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﻀﺎﺑﻄﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﱵ ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺘﻪ ) ، ( 240ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻓﺮﻗﹰﺎ ﻇﺎﻫﺮﻳﹰﺎ ﺑﲔ
ﳎﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﺮﺗﺐ ﺑﲔ ﻋﻴﻨﱵ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﰲ ﺻﺎﱀ ﺍﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺮﻳﺒﻴﺔ .
ﻭﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ) ﻣﺎﻥ ﻭﻳﺘﲏ ( ﻭﻫﻲ ] [ Uﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺘﻬﺎ ) ( 30ﻭﻫﻲ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺩﺍﻟـﺔ
ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﻭﻫﻮ ) ( 0.05ﺣﻴﺚ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ] [ sigﺍﳌﻘﺘﺮﻧﺔ ـﺎ ﺑﻠﻐـﺖ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤـﺔ
) . ( 0.00
ﻭﻫﻲ ﺃﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﶈﺪﺩ .ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻓﻬﻨﺎﻙ ﻓﺮﻭﻗﹰﺎ ﺟﻮﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﳎﻤـﻮﻉ ﺭﺗـﺐ ﳎﻤـﻮﻋﱵ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧـﺔ
) ﺍﻟﻀﺎﺑﻄﺔ ،ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺮﻳﺒﻴﺔ ( ﰲ ﺻﺎﱀ ﺍﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺻﺎﺣﺒﺔ ﳎﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﺮﺗﺐ ﺍﻷﻛﱪ ﻭﻫﻲ ﺍﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺮﻳﺒﻴﺔ .
ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ :
ﰲ ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﳚﺐ ﺭﻓﺾ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ ﻭﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﻨﺺ ﻋﻠﻰ :
" ﻻ ﺗﻮﺟﺪ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﻄﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺭﻳﺴﻴﺔ ﺍﳉﺪﻳﺪﺓ ﰲ ﺗﻌﻠﻢ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﺔ " .
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ) : ( 1
ﺃﺟﺮﻳﺖ ﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻃﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺗﺪﺭﻳﺴﻴﺔ ﻟﻸﻃﻔﺎﻝ ﻣـﻦ ﺫﻭﻱ ﺻـﻌﻮﺑﺎﺕ ﺍﻟـﺘﻌﻠﻢ ﰲ ﻣـﺎﺩﺓ
ﺍﻟﺮﻳﺎﺿﻴﺎﺕ ،ﻓﻘﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺣﺠﻤﻬﺎ ) ( 20ﻓﺮﺩ ﻭﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻟﻠﺮﻳﺎﺿـﻴﺎﺕ
ﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻭﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺑﺮﺻﺪﻩ ﲟﻠﻒ ] [ nonparametric1ﲟﺴﻤﻰ ] [ preﰒ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﰲ
ﺧﻄﻮﺓ ﺗﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﺑﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﻟﻄﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺭﻳﺴﻴﺔ ﺍﳉﺪﻳﺪﺓ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻬﺪﻓﺔ ،ﰒ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺑﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﻧﻔﺲ
ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻛﻞ ﻣﻦ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﰒ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺑﺘﺴﺠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻱ ﻟﻼﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺑﻨﻔﺲ ﺍﳌﻠـﻒ
ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﲟﺴﻤﻰ ] . [ post
ﻓﺈﺫﺍ ﺗﺒﻨﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
" ﻻ ﺗﻮﺟﺪ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﻄﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺭﻳﺴﻴﺔ ﺍﳉﺪﻳﺪﺓ ﰲ ﻋﻼﺝ ﺻﻌﻮﺑﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻢ "
ﺍﺧﺘﱪ ﺻﺤﺔ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ) ( 0.05ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﱵ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﲢﺼﻞ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ،ﻣﺒﻴﻨﺎ ﺍﻟﻘـﺮﺍﺭ
ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﳚﺐ ﺍﲣﺎﺫﻩ ﺑﺸﺄﻥ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ .
ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﰲ ﻳﺴﺎﺭﻩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺄﲰﺎﺀ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﲟﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧـﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻔﺘـﻮﺡ -4
ﻧﻈﻠﻞ ﻣﻨﻪ ﻣﺘﻐﲑﻱ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ) ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻠﻲ ] [ preﻭﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻱ ] ( [ postﻣﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ ) .ﺑﺸﻜﻞ ﻣﺘﺘـﺎﱄ
ﻭﰲ ﺁﻥ ﻭﺍﺣﺪ ( .
ﻧ ـﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠ ـﻰ ﺍﻟ ـﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳ ـﻂ ﻟﻨﻘﻠ ـﻬﻤﺎ ﺩﻓﻌ ـﺔ ﻭﺍﺣ ـﺪﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑ ـﻊ ﺍﻷﳝ ـﻦ ﺍﳌﻌﻨ ـﻮﻥ -5
ﺑـ ] ) [ Test Pair(s) List.ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺃﺯﻭﺍﺝ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ( .
ﺗﻨﺸﻴﻂ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ " ﻭﻳﻠﻜﺎﻛﺴﻮﻥ ] [ wilcoxonﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺑﺎﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ) ﻭﻫﻮ ﻣﻨﺸﻂ ﺑﻄﺒﻴﻌﺔ ﺍﳊﺎﻝ -6
ﻷﻧﻪ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻄﺒﻴﻌﻲ ﻟﻠﱪﻧﺎﻣﺞ ( ﺇﺫﺍ ﱂ ﻳﺬﻛﺮ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺁﺧﺮ ﲞﻼﻑ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ .
ﺍﳊﻞ :
ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﳎﻤﻮﻉ ﺭﺗﺐ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻱ ) ( 159.5ﺑﻴﻨﻤﺎ ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﳎﻤﻮﻉ ﺭﺗﺐ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻠﻲ
) ( 30.5ﳑﺎ ﻳﻮﺣﻲ ﲜﻮﺩ ﻓﺮﻭﻕ ﻇﺎﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺳﲔ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻠﻲ ﻭﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻱ ﰲ ﺻﺎﱀ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻱ .
ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻭﻳﻠﻜﺎﻛﺴﻮﻥ ﻭﻫﻲ ] [ Zﺑﻠﻐﺖ ) ( 2.6ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ﻭﻫﻲ ﻗﻴﻤـﺔ ﺩﺍﻟـﺔ
ﺣﻴﺚ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ] [ sigﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ) ( 0.009ﻭﻫﻲ ﺃﺻﻐﺮ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ) ( 0.05
ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻓﻬﻨﺎﻙ ﻓﺮﻭﻕ ﻇﺎﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﳎﻤﻮﻉ ﺭﺗﺐ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺳﲔ ) ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻠﻲ ﻭﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻱ ( ﰲ ﺻﺎﱀ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺪﻱ ) ﺻﺎﺣﺐ
ﳎﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﺮﺗﺐ ﺍﻷﻛﱪ ( .
ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ :
ﰲ ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻧﺮﻓﺾ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ ﻭﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﻨﺺ ﻋﻠﻰ :
" ﻻ ﺗﻮﺟﺪ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﻄﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺭﻳﺴﻴﺔ ﺍﳉﺪﻳﺪﺓ ﰲ ﻋﻼﺝ ﺻﻌﻮﺑﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻢ "
ﻓﺈﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ] [ Sigﺃﺻﻐﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻭ ﺗﺴﺎﻭﻱ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ) 0.05ﺃﻭ ( 0.01ﻓﻬﺬﺍ ﻳﻌﲏ ﺃﻥ
ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ] [ Chi – Squareﺩﺍﻟﺔ ﻭﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﻓﺮﻭﻕ ﺟﻮﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻮﺳـﻄﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺮﺗـﺐ ﻟﻌﻴﻨـﺎﺕ
ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ) ﰲ ﺻﺎﱀ ﺍﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺻﺎﺣﺒﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺍﻷﻛﱪ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺮﺗﺐ ( ﻭﻧﺮﻓﺾ ﺣﻴﻨﺌ ﺬ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ .
ﺃﻣﺎ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ] [ Sigﺃﻛﱪ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﻓﻬﺬﺍ ﻳﻌﲏ ﻋﺪﻡ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻓﺮﻭﻕ ﺟﻮﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﺑـﲔ
ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺮﺗﺐ ﻟﻌﻴﻨﱵ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﻭﻧﻘﺒﻞ ﺣﻴﻨﺌ ﺬ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ .
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ) : ( 1
ﺃﺟﺮﻳﺖ ﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺬﺍﻛﺮﺓ ﻟﺪﻯ ﺛﻼﺙ ﻋﻴﻨﺎﺕ ﳐﺘﻠﻔﻲ ﺍﻹﻋﺎﻗﺔ ﻓﻘﺎﻣـﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳـﺔ
ﺑﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺣﺠﻤﻬﺎ ) ( 20ﻣﻦ ﺛﻼﺛﺔ ﳎﺘﻤﻌﺎﺕ ﳐﺘﻠﻔﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺣﻴﺚ ﺍﻹﻋﺎﻓـﺔ ) ﺍﻹﻛﻔـﺎﺀ ،ﻭﺍﻟـﺼﻢ ،
ﻭﺍﻟﺒﻜﻢ ( ﻭﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻳﻘﻴﺲ ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺬﺍﻛﺮﺓ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﻴﻨﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻭﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺑﺮﺻﺪﻩ ﻧﺘـﺎﺋﺞ
ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﲟﻠﻒ ] [ nonparametric 2ﲟﺴﻤﻰ ] [ memoryﰒ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺈﺩﺧـﺎﻝ
ﻣﺘﻐﲑﺍ ﻛﻮﺩﻳﺎ ﲟﺴﻤﻰ ] [ groupﺑﻨﻔﺲ ﺍﳌﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﻹﺩﺧﺎﻝ ﺍﻷﻛﻮﺍﺩ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﺄﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﻹﻋﺎﻗـﺔ
ﺍﳌﺨﺘﻠﻔﺔ ﻟﻠﻌﻴﻨﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﺔ ﻛﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ :
ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 1ﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻹﻋﺎﻗﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﺼﺮﻳﺔ ) ﺍﻹﻛﻔﺎﺀ( ] . [ blind
ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 2ﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻹﻋﺎﻗﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻤﻌﻴﺔ ) ﺍﻟﺼﻢ ( ] . [ deaf
ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 3ﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻹﻋﺎﻗﺔ ﺍﻟﺼﻮﺗﻴﺔ ) ﺍﻟﺒﻜﻢ( ] . [ mute
ﻓﺈﺫﺍ ﺗﺒﻨﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ:
" ﻻ ﲣﺘﻠﻒ ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺬﺍﻛﺮﺓ ﺑﺎﺧﺘﻼﻑ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﻹﻋﺎﻗﺔ "
ﺍﺧﺘﱪ ﺻﺤﺔ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ) ( 0.05ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﱵ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﲢﺼﻞ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ،ﻣﺒﻴﻨـﺎ
ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﳚﺐ ﺍﲣﺎﺫﻩ ﺑﺸﺄﻥ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ .
ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﰲ ﻳﺴﺎﺭﻩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺄﲰﺎﺀ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﲟﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧـﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻔﺘـﻮﺡ -4
ﻧﻈﻠﻞ ﻣﻨﻪ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ] . [ memory
ﻧـ ـﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠـ ـﻰ ﺍﻟـ ـﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳـ ـﻂ ﻟﻨﻘﻠـ ـﻪ ﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑـ ـﻊ ﺍﻷﳝـ ـﻦ ﺍﳌﻌﻨـ ـﻮﻥ -5
ﺑـ ] . [ Test Variable List.
ﻧﻈﻠﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭﻫﻮﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ] . [ group -6
ﻧ ـﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠ ـﻰ ﺍﻟ ـﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳ ـﻂ ﺍﻟ ـﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﻟﻨﻘﻠ ـﻪ ﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑ ـﻊ ﺍﻷﳝ ـﻦ ﺍﻟ ـﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﳌﻌﻨ ـﻮﻥ -7
ﺑـ ] ) [ Grouping Variableﻣﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻤﻮﻋﺎﺕ( .
ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] ) [ Define Rangesﺍﻟﺘﻌﺮﻳﻒ ﺑﺎﳌﺪﻯ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ( . -8
-13ﺗﻨﺸﻴﻂ ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ " ﻛﺮﻭﺳﻴﻜﺎﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﺲ " ] [ kruskal-wallisﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺑﺎﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ) ﻭﻫﻮ
ﻣﻨﺸﻂ ﺑﻄﺒﻴﻌﺔ ﺍﳊﺎﻝ ﻷﻧﻪ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻄﺒﻴﻌﻲ ﻟﻠﱪﻧﺎﻣﺞ ( ﺇﺫﺍ ﱂ ﻳﺬﻛﺮ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺁﺧﺮ ﲞﻼﻑ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ.
ﺇﻋﺪﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﻄﺎﻟﺐ :ﺭﻳﺎﺽ ﺍﳌﻄﺮﰲ twirsh858@[Link] ( 96 )
ﺇﺣﺼﺎﺀ ﺗﺮﺑﻮﻱ 503 ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................ﻧﻔﺲ
ﺍﳊﻞ :
ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﻓﺮﻭﻕ ﻇﺎﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺎﺕ ﺭﺗﺐ ﺍﻤﻮﻋﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﺔ ﰲ ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺬﺍﻛﺮﺓ ﺣﻴﺚ
ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﺃﻗﺼﻰ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﳍﺎ ﻟﺪﻯ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻜﻢ ) ( 39.45ﻭﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﺃﻗﻞ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﳍﺎ ﻟﺪﻯ ﺍﻷﻛﻔﺎﺀ ) . ( 21.25
ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ) ﻛﺮﻭﺳﻴﻜﺎﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﺲ ( ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ) ( 11.01ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ﻭﻫﻲ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺩﺍﻟـﺔ
ﺣﻴﺚ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ] [ sigﺍﳌﻘﺘﺮﻧﺔ ﺎ ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ) ( 0.004ﻭﻫﻲ ﺃﺻﻐﺮ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ) ( 0.05ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘـﺎﱄ
ﻓﻬﻨﺎﻙ ﻓﺮﻭﻗﹰﺎ ﺟﻮﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺮﺗﺐ ﻟﺪﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺬﺍﻛﺮﺓ ﻟﺪﻯ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺙ ﰲ ﺻﺎﱀ ﺍﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﺻﺎﺣﺒﺔ
ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺍﻟﺮﺗﱯ ﺍﻷﻛﱪ ،ﺃﻱ ) ﺍﻟﺒﻜﻢ ( ﰒ ) ﺍﻟﺼﻢ ( .
ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ :
ﰲ ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻧﺮﻓﺾ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ ﻭﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﻨﺺ ﻋﻠﻰ :
" ﻻ ﲣﺘﻠﻒ ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺬﺍﻛﺮﺓ ﺑﺎﺧﺘﻼﻑ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﻹﻋﺎﻗﺔ " .
ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﻼﺣﻈﺔ ﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ ﻭﺗﻜﺮﺍﺭ ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻨﻔﺲ ﺍﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﻭﻓﻘﺎ ﻷﻃﺮ ﺗﻨﻈﲑﻳﺔ ﻣﻌﻴﻨﺔ . -1
ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﻼﺣﻈﺔ ﺑﲔ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺘﲔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻷﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﻭﻓﻘﺎ ﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺗﺼﻨﻴﻔﻴﺔ ﳏﺪﺩﺓ . -2
ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﻼﺣﻈﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻣﻦ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺘﲔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻷﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﻭﻓﻘﺎ ﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺗﺼﻨﻴﻔﻴﺔ ﳏﺪﺩﺓ . -3
ﻋﻨﺪﻣﺎ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺱ ﻟﻌﻴﻨﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﺍﻻﲰﻲ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﻨﻴﻔﻲ . -1
ﻭﺳﻮﻑ ﻳﻘﺘﺼﺮ ﰲ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳉﺰﺀ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﻛﺎﻱ ﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﺗﻜﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺘﲔ ﻭﻓﻘﺎ ﻟﺒﻌﺾ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﻨﻴﻔﲕ
ﻭﻣﻦ ﺃﻣﺜﻠﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﻓﻴﻬﺎ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺘﻢ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﻟﻔـﺮﻭﻕ ﺑـﲔ
ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺘﲔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻷﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﻭﻏﲑ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﰲ ﺇﲡﺎﻫﻬﻢ ﳓﻮ ﻗﺒﻮﻝ ﺃﻭ ﺭﻓﺾ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺃﺓ ،ﺣﻴﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﻤﻴﻢ
ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺜﻲ ﳍﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻭﻓﻘﺎ ﻟﻠﺠﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ :
ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ
ﺍﻟﺮﻓﺾ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻮﻝ
ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻤﻲ
ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭ ﺭﻓﺾ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺍﺓ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭ ﻗﺒﻮﻝ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺍﺓ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﻣﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ
ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭ ﻗﺒﻮﻝ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺍﺓ ﺑﲔ ﻏﲑ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭ ﺭﻓﺾ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺍﺓ ﺑﲔ ﻏﲑ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﻏﲑ ﻣﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ
ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﳝﻜﻦ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻝ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﻭﻕ ﺑﻴﺖ ﺗﻜﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﲡﺎﻫﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻮﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺮﻓﺾ ﺑـﲔ
ﳎﻤﻮﻋﱵ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﻭﻏﲑ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ،ﻭﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻫﻮ ﺟﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻗﺘﺮﺍﻥ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ) .( 2 × 2
ﻭﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻣﻊ ﺟﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺗﻜﺮﺍﺭ ﺗﺰﻳﺪ ﰲ ﺑﻌﺪﻳﻬﺎ ﻋﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺟﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻻﻗﺘـﺮﺍﻥ
) ( 2 × 3ﺃﻭ ) ( 3 × 3ﺃﻭ ) .... ( 3 × 4ﻭﻫﻜﺬﺍ .
ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻣﻦ ﺟﺪﻭﻟﲔ ،ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﻼﺣﻈﺔ ) ﺍﳌﺸﺎﻫﺪﺓ ( ] [ Count
،ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﻭﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ] ، [ Expected Countﻭﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﺗﺴﺎﻭﻱ :
)ﺣﺎﺻﻞ ﺿﺮﺏ ﳎﻤﻮﻉ ﺗﻜﺮﺍﺭ ﺻﻒ ﺍﳋﻠﻴﺔ × ﺣﺎﺻﻞ ﺿﺮﺏ ﳎﻤﻮﻉ ﺗﻜﺮﺍﺭ ﻋﻤﻮﺩ ﺍﳋﻠﻴـﺔ ( ÷ ﺍﻤـﻮﻉ
ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻲ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﻟﻜﻞ ﺧﻠﻴﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻳﺎ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ،ﻭﺍﻵﺧﺮ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﺪﺓ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﻻﺘﻢ ﻣﻨﻬﺎ ﺇﻻ ﺑﻘﻴﻤـﺔ
ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ] [ Chi - Squareﻭﻫﻲ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺑﻠﺔ ﻟــ ] [ Prarson Chi – Square
ﻭﺩﺭﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﳊﺮﻳﺔ ﻭﻫﻲ ﺗﺴﺎﻭﻱ ) ﻋﺪﺩ ﺧﻼﻳﺎ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﻮﻑ – ) × ( 1ﻋﺪﺩ ﺧﻼﻳﺎ ﺍﻷﻋﻤﺪﺓ – ( 1ﻭﻛـﺬﻟﻚ
ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ] ). [ Sig( 2-sided
ﻓﺈﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ] [ Sigﺃﺻﻐﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻭ ﺗﺴﺎﻭﻱ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ) 0.05ﺃﻭ ( 0.01ﻓﻬﺬﺍ ﻳﻌﲏ ﺃﻥ
ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ] [ Chi – Squareﺩﺍﻟﺔ ﻭﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﻓﺮﻭﻕ ﺟﻮﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺗﻜﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﺧﻼﻳﺎ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﻣﻮﺿﻊ
ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ) ﰲ ﺻﺎﱀ ﺍﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﺻﺎﺣﺒﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﻷﻛﱪ ( ﻭﻧﺮﻓﺾ ﺣﻴﻨﺌ ﺬ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ .
ﺃﻣﺎ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ] [ Sigﺃﻛﱪ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﻓﻬﺬﺍ ﻳﻌﲏ ﻋﺪﻡ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻓﺮﻭﻕ ﺟﻮﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﺑـﲔ
ﺗﻜﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﺧﻼﻳﺎ ﺟﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺮﺍﻥ ﻭﻧﻘﺒﻞ ﺣﻴﻨﺌﺬ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ .
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ) : ( 1
ﺃﺟﺮﻳﺖ ﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﻭﻕ ﺑﲔ ﳎﻤﻮﻋﺘﲔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻷﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﻭﻏﲑ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﺣﺠﻢ ﻛﻞ ﻣﻨﻬﺎ ) ( 30
ﻓﺮﺩ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺒﻮﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺮﻓﺾ ﳓﻮ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺃﺓ ،ﻭﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﺳﺘﺒﻴﺎﻥ ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ ﳓﻮ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺃﺓ ﻋﻠـﻰ
ﳎﻤﻮﻋﱵ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻭﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺑﺘـﺴﺠﻴﻞ ﺍﻷﻛـﻮﺍﺩ ﺍﳋﺎﺻـﺔ ﲟﺠﻤـﻮﻋﱵ ﺍﳌـﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﻭﻏـﲑ ﺍﳌـﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﲟﻠـﻒ
] [ nonparametric 2ﲢﺖ ﻣﺴﻤﻰ ] [ learnﲝﻴﺚ :
ﻛﻤﺎ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺈﺩﺧﺎﻝ ﺍﻷﻛﻮﺍﺩ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﺎﲡﺎﻫﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻮﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺮﻓﺾ ﺑﻨﻔﺲ ﺍﳌﻠﻒ ﺍﻟـﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﲢـﺖ ﻣـﺴﻤﻰ
] [ attitudeﲝﻴﺚ :
ﺍﺧﺘﱪ ﺻﺤﺔ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ ) ( 0.05ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﱵ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﲢﺼﻞ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ،ﻣﺒﻴﻨﺎ ﺍﻟﻘـﺮﺍﺭ
ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﳚﺐ ﺍﲣﺎﺫﻩ ﺑﺸﺄﻥ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮﻱ .
ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﰲ ﻳﺴﺎﺭﻩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺄﲰﺎﺀ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﲟﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧـﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻔﺘـﻮﺡ -4
ﻧﻈﻠﻞ ﻣﻨﻪ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ) ﺃﻭ ﺃﻱ ﻣﻨﻬﻤﺎ ( ﻭﻟﻴﻜﻦ ] . [ learn
ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳﻂ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﻟﻨﻘﻠﻪ ﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻷﳝﻦ ﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻥ ﺑـ ] . [ Row(s). -5
ﻧﻈﻠﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ﺍﻵﺧﺮ ﻭﻫﻮﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ] . [ attitude -6
ﻧ ـﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠ ـﻰ ﺍﻟ ـﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳ ـﻂ ﺍﻟ ـﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﻟﻨﻘﻠ ـﻪ ﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑ ـﻊ ﺍﻷﳝ ـﻦ ﺍﻟ ـﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﳌﻌﻨ ـﻮﻥ -7
ﺑـ ] ).[ Column(s
ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] ) [ Statisticsﻻﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ( . -8
ﺍﳊﻞ :
ﺃﻭﹰﻻ /ﺟﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻐﲑﻱ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻢ ﻭﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﳓﻮ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺃﺓ :
ﻳﻼﺣﻆ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺗﻜﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺔ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﻏﲑ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﻓﻀﲔ ﻟﻌﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺃﺓ ﻭﺃﻥ ﺃﺩﱏ
ﺃﻭ ﺃﻗﻞ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻟﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﳌﻮﺍﻓﻘﻮﻥ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺃﺓ ﻣﻦ ﻏﲑ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ .
ﻳﻼﺣﻆ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳉﺪﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﻛﺎﻱ ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ) ( 21.7ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ﻭﻫﻲ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺩﺍﻟﺔ ﺣﻴﺚ ﺃﻥ
ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ] [ sigﺍﳌﺮﺗﺒﻄﺔ ﺎ ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ) ( 0ﻭﻫﻲ ﺃﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﳑﺎ ﻳﻌﲏ ﺃﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﻓﺮﻭﻗﺎﹰ
ﺟﻮﻫﺮﻳﺔ ﰲ ﺗﻜﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻮﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺮﻓﺾ ﻟﻌﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺍﺓ ﺑﲔ ﻋﻴﻨﱵ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﻭﻏﲑ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﰲ ﺻﺎﱀ
ﺍﳋﻠﻴﺔ ﺻﺎﺣﺒﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﳌﻼﺣﻆ ﺍﻷﻛﱪ ﻭﻫﻲ ﻣﺮﺗﺒﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻨﺤﻮ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ :
/1ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﻓﻀﲔ ﻟﻌﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺍﺓ ﻣﻦ ﻏﲑ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ .
/2ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﳌﻮﺍﻓﻘﲔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺍﺓ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ .
/3ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﻓﻀﲔ ﻟﻌﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺍﺓ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ .
/4ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﳌﻮﺍﻓﻘﲔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺮﺍﺓ ﻣﻦ ﻏﲑ ﺍﳌﺘﻌﻠﻤﲔ .
ﻳﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﻓﻖ ﻹﳚﺎﺩ ﻭﲢﺪﻳﺪ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ﻛﻼﳘﺎ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﻨﻴﻔﻲ ) ﺍﻻﲰﻲ (
ﻣﺜﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﳉﻨﺲ ﻭﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﺎﻻﺕ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﻴﺔ ) ﺍﻟﻨﻈﺮﻳﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ ( ،ﻭﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻮﻯ
ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ ﻭﺍﻗﺘﻨﺎﺀ ﺃﻧﻮﺍﻉ ﻣﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺭﺍﺕ ......ﻭﻫﻜﺬﺍ .
ﺃﺟﺮﻳﺖ ﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻧﻮﻉ ﻭﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﳉﻨﺲ ) ﺫﻛﻮﺭ – ﺇﻧﺎﺙ ( ﻭﺍﻻﲡﺎﻫﺎﺕ ﳓﻮ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺎﺕ
ﺍﻟﻨﻈﺮﻳﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ ،ﻓﻘﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﻴﻨﺔ ﺣﺠﻤﻬﺎ ) ( 90ﻣﻦ ﻃﻼﺏ ﻭﻃﺎﻟﺒﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻮﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻣﺔ ،ﰒ
ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﰲ ﺧﻄﻮﺓ ﺗﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﺑﺘﻄﺒﻴﻖ ﺍﺧﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻳﻘﻴﺲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻫﺎﺕ ﳓﻮ ﳎﺎﻻﺕ ﺩﺭﺍﺳﻴﺔ ﻣﻌﻴﻨﺔ ) ﻧﻈﺮﻳﺔ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ( ،ﰒ
ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺑﺘﺴﺠﻴﻞ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﳉﻨﺲ ﻟﻠﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﲟﻠﻒ ] [ contingencyﲢﺖ ﻣﺴﻤﻰ ] [ genderﻭﻓﻘﺎ
ﻟﻸﻛﻮﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 1ﻟﻠﺬﻛﻮﺭ ] [ male )(1
ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 2ﻟﻺﻧﺎﺙ ] [ female )(2
ﻛﻤﺎ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺃﻳﻀﺎ ﺑﺘﺴﺠﻴﻞ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﳓﻮ ﺍﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﻲ ﲟﺴﻤﻰ ] [ aptitudeﺑﻨﻔﺲ ﺍﳌﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ
ﻭﻓﻘﺎ ﻟﻸﻛﻮﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
) (1ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 1ﻟﻠﺪﺭﺍﺳﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻨﻈﺮﻳﺔ ] [ theoretical
) (2ﺍﻟﺮﻗﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ) ( 2ﻟﻠﺪﺭﺍﺳﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ ] [ practical
ﻓﺈﺫﺍ ﺗﺒﻨﺖ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
" ﺗﻮﺟﺪ ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﺻﻔﺮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﳉﻨﺲ ﻭﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﳓﻮ ﳎﺎﻻﺕ ﺩﺭﺍﺳﻴﺔ ﻣﻌﻴﻨﺔ ) ﻧﻈﺮﻳﺔ – ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ( "
ﺇﻋﺪﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﻄﺎﻟﺐ :ﺭﻳﺎﺽ ﺍﳌﻄﺮﰲ twirsh858@[Link] ( 105 )
ﺇﺣﺼﺎﺀ ﺗﺮﺑﻮﻱ 503 ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................ﻧﻔﺲ
ﻓﺎﺧﺘﱪ ﰲ ﺿﻮﺀ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﱵ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺼﻞ ﺇﻟﻴﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻣﺒﻴﻨﺎ ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺘﺨﺬ
ﺑﺸﺄﻥ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺽ .
ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﰲ ﻳﺴﺎﺭﻩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺄﲰﺎﺀ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﲟﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧـﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻔﺘـﻮﺡ -4
ﻧﻈﻠﻞ ﻣﻨﻪ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ) ﺃﻭ ﺃﻱ ﻣﻨﻬﻤﺎ ( ﻭﻟﻴﻜﻦ ] . [ gender
ﻧﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳﻂ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﻟﻨﻘﻠﻪ ﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻷﳝﻦ ﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻥ ﺑـ ] . [ Row(s). -5
ﻧﻈﻠﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ﺍﻵﺧﺮ ﻭﻫﻮﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﺩﻱ ] . [ attitude -6
ﻧ ـﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠ ـﻰ ﺍﻟ ـﺴﻬﻢ ﺍﻷﻭﺳ ـﻂ ﺍﻟ ـﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﻟﻨﻘﻠ ـﻪ ﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑ ـﻊ ﺍﻷﳝ ـﻦ ﺍﻟ ـﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﳌﻌﻨ ـﻮﻥ -7
ﺑـ ] ). [ Column(s
-12ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺧﻴﺎﺭ ] [ display clustered bar chartsﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﻟﻌﺮﺽ ﺍﻟﺮﺳﻢ ﺍﻟﺒﻴـﺎﱐ
ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﻮﺿﺢ ﺑﺎﻷﻋﻤﺪﺓ ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺮﺍﺭﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻐﲑﻱ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﻓﻖ .
-13ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋﻠﻰ ] ) [ okﻣﻮﺍﻓﻖ ( ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﳊﺼﻮﻝ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ :
ﺍﳊﻞ :
ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﻓﻖ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ) ( 0.55ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﻳﻦ ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﻃﺮﺩﻳﺔ ﻗﻮﻳﺔ ،
ﻭﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺸﻜﻞ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ :
ﻳﺘﻀﺢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺸﻜﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻥ ﻏﺎﻟﺒﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺬﻛﻮﺭ ﳍﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﳓﻮ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﰲ ﺣﲔ ﺃﻥ ﻏﺎﻟﺒﻴﺔ ﺍﻹﻧﺎﺙ
ﳍﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﳓﻮ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻨﻈﺮﻳﺔ ؛ ﳑﺎ ﻳﻌﲏ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﺩﺍﻟﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻣﺘﻐﲑﻱ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﳉﻨﺲ ) ﺫﻛﻮﺭ ،ﺇﻧﺎﺙ (
ﻭ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺟﻪ ﳓﻮ ﻧﻮﻋﻴﺔ ﳏﺪﺩﺓ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺎﺕ ) ﺍﻟﺘﺨﺼﺼﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ ،ﺍﻟﺘﺨﺼﺼﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻨﻈﺮﻳﺔ ( .
" ﺗﻮﺟﺪ ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﺻﻔﺮﻳﺔ ﺑﲔ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺍﳉﻨﺲ ﻭﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﳓﻮ ﳎﺎﻻﺕ ﺩﺭﺍﺳﻴﺔ ﻣﻌﻴﻨﺔ ) ﻧﻈﺮﻳﺔ – ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ( "