0% encontró este documento útil (0 votos)
4 vistas7 páginas

Análisis de Precios de Harina en Huaura

El documento presenta un análisis de mercado sobre los precios y cantidades de harina de trigo en una localidad de Perú entre 2015-2022. Calcula la demanda, oferta y precio de equilibrio, así como los excedentes de consumidores y productores. Proyecta ajustes de precios y demanda para 2023-2030 basados en las ecuaciones estimadas.

Cargado por

Noemi Torres
Derechos de autor
© All Rights Reserved
Nos tomamos en serio los derechos de los contenidos. Si sospechas que se trata de tu contenido, reclámalo aquí.
Formatos disponibles
Descarga como PDF, TXT o lee en línea desde Scribd
0% encontró este documento útil (0 votos)
4 vistas7 páginas

Análisis de Precios de Harina en Huaura

El documento presenta un análisis de mercado sobre los precios y cantidades de harina de trigo en una localidad de Perú entre 2015-2022. Calcula la demanda, oferta y precio de equilibrio, así como los excedentes de consumidores y productores. Proyecta ajustes de precios y demanda para 2023-2030 basados en las ecuaciones estimadas.

Cargado por

Noemi Torres
Derechos de autor
© All Rights Reserved
Nos tomamos en serio los derechos de los contenidos. Si sospechas que se trata de tu contenido, reclámalo aquí.
Formatos disponibles
Descarga como PDF, TXT o lee en línea desde Scribd

UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL JOSÉ FAUSTINO SÁNCHEZ CARRIÓN

Página | 1
UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL JOSÉ FAUSTINO SÁNCHEZ CARRIÓN

INTRODUCCIÓN

Página | 2
En este, en este trabajo nos hemos dado la tarea de investigar los datos referentes a
los precios y cantidades de la harina de trigo dados a un microempresario de la
localidad de Huaura, para así obtener medidas referentes al este micro mercado

Numero de contacto: 963761823


UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL JOSÉ FAUSTINO SÁNCHEZ CARRIÓN

En el presente trabajo mostraremos datos de precios y cantidades sobre el bien de


la harina de trigo (INCA) información adquirida por la buena disposición de un
microempresario que se dedica a la compra y venta de este producto.
HARINA DE TRIGO
Página | 3

AÑO PRECIO CANTIDAD PXQ P2 q2


2015 79 100 7900 6241 10000
2016 80 99 7920 6400 9801
2017 81 98 7938 6561 9604
2018 81.5 98 7987 6642.25 9604
2019 82 97 7954 6724 9409
2020 110 90 9900 12100 8100
2021 135 86 11610 18225 7396
2022 156 79 12324 24336 6241
TOTAL 804.5 747 73533 87229.25 70155

8(73533) − 804.5(747)
𝑏=
8(70155) − (7472 )

b = -3.9299 Pendiente de la demanda

804.5 − (−3.9299)(747)
𝑎=
8

a = 467.5169

𝑃 = 467.5169 − 3.9299𝑞
467.5169 1
𝑃= −
3.9299 3.9299
𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544𝑃
UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL JOSÉ FAUSTINO SÁNCHEZ CARRIÓN

156=P2

79 − 100
𝑄 − 100 = (𝑃 − 79)
156 − 79
79=P1 Página | 4
𝑄 − 100 = −0.2727(𝑃 − 79)

𝑄 𝑆 = 121.5433 − 0.2727𝑃
Q1=100 Q2=79

PRECIO DE EQUILIBRIO

𝑃𝑒 = 118.9640 − 0.2544𝑃 = 121.5433 − 0.2727𝑃


2.5793
𝑃=
0.0183
𝑃 = 140.9453

CANTIDAD(DEMANDA) DE EQUILIBRIO
𝑄 𝑒 = 118.9640 − 0.2544𝑃

𝑄 𝑒 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(140.9453)
𝑸𝒆 = 𝟖𝟑. 𝟏𝟎𝟕𝟓

𝟕𝟑𝟓𝟑𝟑 𝟕𝟑𝟓𝟑𝟑 Explica la variable


𝒓= = = 𝟎. 𝟗𝟑𝟗𝟗 que determina la
√𝟕𝟎𝟏𝟓𝟓 × √𝟖𝟕𝟐𝟐𝟗. 𝟐𝟓 𝟕𝟖𝟐𝟑𝟎. 𝟔𝟑𝟏𝟑
demanda
= 94%
EXCEDENTE DE CONSUMIDOR

(467.5169 − 140.9453) × 83.1075


𝐸𝐶 =
2
𝐸𝐶 = 13570.37462

EXCEDENTE DE PRODUCTOR

(83.1075 − 121.5433) × 140.9453


𝐸𝑃= 140.9453(121.5433) +
2
𝐸𝑃 = 14422.28426062
UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL JOSÉ FAUSTINO SÁNCHEZ CARRIÓN

Página | 5

INGRESO MERCADO TOTAL

𝑰 = 𝟏𝟒𝟎. 𝟗𝟒𝟓𝟑 × 𝟖𝟑. 𝟏𝟑𝟕𝟓 = 𝟏𝟏𝟕𝟏𝟑. 𝟔𝟏𝟏𝟓𝟐

COSTOS
𝑪 = 𝟏𝟏𝟕𝟏𝟑. 𝟔𝟏𝟏𝟓 − 𝟏𝟒𝟒𝟐𝟐. 𝟐𝟖𝟒𝟐 = −𝟐𝟕𝟎𝟖. 𝟔𝟕𝟔𝟕

BENEFICIO

𝝅 = 𝟏𝟏𝟕𝟏𝟑. 𝟔𝟏𝟏𝟓𝟐 − 𝟐𝟕𝟎𝟖. 𝟔𝟕𝟔𝟕 =


𝟗𝟎𝟎𝟓. 𝟏𝟑𝟖𝟎

COSTO UNITARIO
−𝟐𝟕𝟎𝟖.𝟔𝟕𝟔𝟕
𝝅𝒄𝒖 = = 𝟑𝟐. 𝟓𝟗.
𝟖𝟑.𝟏𝟎𝟕𝟓

BENEFICO UNITARIO

𝝅𝑼 = 𝟏𝟒𝟎. 𝟗𝟒𝟓𝟑(𝟏) −32.59=108.3553


𝝅 = 𝟏𝟎𝟖. 𝟑𝟓𝟓𝟑(𝟖𝟑. 𝟏𝟎𝟕𝟓) = 𝟗𝟎𝟎𝟓. 𝟏𝟑𝟖𝟎
UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL JOSÉ FAUSTINO SÁNCHEZ CARRIÓN

AJUSTES
DE PRECIOS

𝑃 = 467.5169 − 3.9299𝑞
Página | 6
P=467.5169 -3.9299 x 100 = 74.5269
P=467.5169 -3.9299 x 99 = 78.4568
P=467.5169 -3.9299 x 98 = 82.3867
P=467.5169 -3.9299 x 97 = 86.3166
P=467.5169 -3.9299 x 90 = 113.826
P=467.5169 -3.9299 x 86 = 129.546
P=467.5169 -3.9299 x 79 = 157.055

PRECIO
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180

AJUSTES DE DEMANDA
𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544𝑃

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(79) = 98.8664

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(80) = 98.612

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(81) = 98.3576

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(81.5) = 98.2304

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(82) = 98.1032

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(110) = 90.98

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(135) = 84.62

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(156) = 79.2776


UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL JOSÉ FAUSTINO SÁNCHEZ CARRIÓN

DEMANDA REAL PROYECTADA A PRECIO REAL

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544𝑃

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(74.5269)=100.004 Página | 7

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(78.4568)= 99.004

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(82.3867)=98.004

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(86.3166)=97.005

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(113.826)=90.006

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(129.546)=86.007

𝑄 𝑑 = 118.9640 − 0.2544(157.055)=79.009

PROYECCIÓN DEL INGRESO

𝑃 = 467.5169𝑞 − 3.9299𝑞2

𝑃 = 467.5169(1) − 3.9299(1)2 = 459.6598


𝑃 = 467.5169(2) − 3.9299(2)2 = 919.3196

𝑃 = 467.5169(3) − 3.9299(3)2 = 1367.1897


𝑃 = 467.5169(4) − 3.9299(4)2 = 1807.2

𝑃 = 467.5169(5) − 3.9299(5)2 = 2,239.3505

𝑃 = 467.5169(6) − 3.9299(6)2 = 2663.6412


𝑃 = 467.5169(7) − 3.9299(7)2 = 21780.8561
Escriba aquí la ecuación.

Common questions

Con tecnología de IA

Consumer surplus is calculated as EC = (467.5169 - 140.9453) × 83.1075/2, resulting in a surplus value of 13570.37462. This calculation represents the area between the price consumers are willing to pay and the market price, indicating that consumers gain significant welfare benefits from purchasing wheat flour at the given market price .

The price adjustment analysis, showing variations in demand (Qd) across different price points, informs future pricing policies by identifying the optimal price range that maximizes profits while maintaining demand. By evaluating demand sensitivity, businesses can set prices that balance between attracting sufficient consumer sales and achieving desired profit margins, thus influencing long-term pricing strategies .

Market equilibrium is determined where the quantity demanded equals the quantity supplied. The analysis shows equilibrium when Pe = 140.9453 and Qe = 83.1075. This is calculated by setting the demand equation Q = 118.9640 - 0.2544P equal to the supply function Qs = 121.5433 - 0.2727P and solving for P, then substituting back to find Q .

The cost structure analysis underscores the need for financial strategies that focus on cost efficiency and reduction. With a unit cost of 32.59 against significant producer surpluses, firms must strategically manage expenses to sustain profitability. This may involve improving operational efficiencies, sourcing cheaper raw materials, or leveraging economies of scale in production to remain competitive .

The slope of the demand curve, -0.2544, indicates the sensitivity of quantity demanded to price changes, known as price elasticity. A steeper negative slope means that small changes in price lead to larger changes in quantity demanded, suggesting that consumers are sensitive to price changes in the wheat flour market .

The demand for wheat flour in Huaura is modeled using a linear demand function derived from historical price and quantity data. The demand equation is Qd = 118.9640 - 0.2544P, where Qd is the quantity demanded and P is the price. This equation is obtained by calculating the slope and intercept using regression analysis across several years, indicating how quantity changes in response to price variations .

Total market income is calculated using I = 140.9453 × 83.1375 = 11713.61152. Costs are total income minus the producer surplus, resulting in a negative value of -2708.6767, indicating loss. Therefore, the profit is π = 11713.61152 - 2708.6767 = 9005.1380. Unit costs and benefits are evaluated to analyze profitability, with a unit cost of 32.59 and a unit benefit of 108.3553 indicating positive gains per unit sold .

Projecting demand at different real prices helps understand potential market scenarios and consumer responsiveness to price changes. This supports price-setting strategies and inventory management, allowing for optimized production planning and risk mitigation in economic fluctuations. The analysis includes calculating projected demand with given prices to estimate realistic outcomes and prepare the business for future market conditions .

Income projection helps strategic decision-making by providing an expected revenue framework based on current prices and quantities (P = 467.5169q-3.9299q^2). This enables businesses to predict cash flow, plan for capacity expansions, and make informed pricing decisions to optimize profitability based on forecasted demand and cost structures .

The correlation coefficient, r = 0.9399, signifies a strong positive relationship between the historic price and quantity data of wheat flour used in the analysis. This high correlation indicates that the data is highly reliable for predictive modeling and analysis of market dynamics, suggesting that the model accurately captures underlying economic realities .

También podría gustarte