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A literature review on machine learning in supply
chain management
Suggested Citation: Wenzel, Hannah; Smit, Daniel; Sardesai, Saskia (2019) : A literature
review on machine learning in supply chain management, In: Kersten, Wolfgang Blecker,
Thorsten Ringle, Christian M. (Ed.): Artificial Intelligence and Digital Transformation in Supply
Chain Management: Innovative Approaches for Supply Chains. Proceedings of the Hamburg
International Conference of Logistics (HICL), Vol. 27, ISBN 978-3-7502-4947-9, epubli GmbH,
Berlin, pp. 413-441,
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Proceedings of the Hamburg International Conference of Logistics (HICL) – 27
Published in: Artificial Intelligence and Digital Transformation in Supply Chain Management
Wolfgang Kersten, Thorsten Blecker and Christian M. Ringle (Eds.)
September 2019, epubli
CC-BY-SA 4.0
A Literature Review on Machine Learning in
Supply Chain Management
Hannah Wenzel1, Daniel Smit1 and Saskia Sardesai1
1 – Fraunhofer Institute for Material Flow and Logistics IML
Originality: Linking the SC task model with current application areas of ML yields an
overview of ML in SCM. This facilitates the identification of potential areas of appli-
cation to companies, as well as potential future research areas to science.
1 Motivation
term "Supply Chain Management [AND] Machine Learning". Due to the re-
cent developments in ML, the results were restricted to publications from
2009-2019. Based on the abstracts, a total of 38 relevant papers have been
identified.
Along with the full papers, the specific SCM task and the applied ML meth-
ods have been extracted. The papers have been categorized by the source
of the datasets they used. 20 of the papers used real-world datasets ac-
quired mostly from enterprises. 9 papers used synthetic datasets (e.g. gen-
erated by a simulation). For the remaining 9 papers, the types of datasets
used were not mentioned. Furthermore, with the support of the Google
search function several practical applications of ML within SCM were iden-
tified. This was done to provide a complete picture of current practical ap-
plications.
The paper is structured as follows. Firstly, the different tasks of SCM are ex-
plained, ensued by a general introduction to ML including the different
types and methods, and explaining the process of applying ML techniques
for solving real-world issues. This is succeeded by application examples of
ML in SCM and a mapping to the SCM task model. The paper concludes with
an overview on possible areas of future research within the SCM task
model. The result of this paper addresses researchers in their future course
of research work as well as Supply Chain Managers in applying ML in their
field of work.
416 Hannah Wenzel et al.
According to Arnold et al. (2008) the primary goal of SCM is to fulfill cus-
tomer needs while optimizing costs in terms of inventories, resources and
processes in the network at the same time. To ensure that this goal can be
achieved, it requires a number of subgoals e.g. improving customer orien-
tation and satisfaction, increase of delivery capability and reduction of lead
times (Arnold et al., 2008, 460 f.). The achievement of the preceding goals
must be carried out by internal and cross-company tasks of SCM. A repre-
sentation of these tasks is shown in Figure 1.
The three main tasks of the model are Supply Chain Design, -Planning and
-Execution (Kuhn and Hellingrath, 2002, 142 f.). The inner circle of tasks is
discussed briefly hereafter as it is of relevance for mapping ML applications.
Supply Chain Design
Supply Chain Design (SCD) deals with long-term planning in terms of loca-
tion decisions, make-or-buy decisions, supply relationships, capacity di-
mensioning, logistics strategy and general tasks (Hompel and Wolf, 2013, p.
148). Another important task is cost-optimized structuring of the logistics
and production processes. Consequently, this area involves a financial
evaluation of changes in the logistics network (Kuhn and Hellingrath, 2002,
143 f.).
Literature Review on Machine Learning in Supply Chain Management 417
Figure 1: Supply Chain Management task model (Hompel and Wolf, 2013,
pp. 146–147)
3 Machine Learning
The following section interprets the term "Machine Learning" and covers
types of ML methods. This supports a common understanding of the meth-
ods used in the different application areas of ML in SCM. Challenges are also
addressed.
420 Hannah Wenzel et al.
knowledge it is now able to predict future input and output data. Two im-
portant tasks are classification and regression (Kirste and Schürholz, 2019,
25 f.).
Unsupervised Learning
Unsupervised learning describes a system that is able to discover
knowledge. Correct answers are not provided in this type of learning, thus,
there are no pre-labelled target values. This approach is also called "learn-
ing without a teacher". A well-known task of unsupervised learning is clus-
tering. The method identifies similarities between the inputs to categorize
inputs by common patterns. Similar tasks are e.g. Association Rules, Self-
Organizing Maps, Multidimensional Scaling and Nonlinear Dimension Re-
duction (Marsland, 2015, p. 281; Russell and Norvig, 2016, p. 694; Hastie,
Friedman and Tibshirani, 2017, 485 ff.).
Reinforcement Learning
With reinforcement learning, the optimal solution is unknown to the system
at the beginning of the learning phase and therefore must be determined
iteratively. In this process, sensible approaches are rewarded, and wrong
steps tend to be punished. With this approach, it is possible that the system
takes into account complex environmental influences and reacts accord-
ingly. Hence, the system finds its own solutions autonomously through di-
rectional rewards and punishments (Gentsch, 2018, 38 f.).
422 Hannah Wenzel et al.
When using ML methods and algorithms, some challenges may occur. Two
different reasons can be mentioned when it comes to the development of
error sources. On the one hand, the problem can be found in the data. The
availability of a large amount of data which is necessary for the training of
a model is still a frequent challenge, as well as insufficiently representative
training data. Another challenge is poor data quality. In order to make pat-
terns visible in data sets, they first must be detected. If the data contains
errors or outliers, it is difficult to identify such patterns. Another issue is re-
dundant features, which do not provide added value to the model. An im-
portant step for the success of a ML method is therefore to select suitable
features for training (Géron, 2017, pp. 23–26). On the other hand, a poorly
chosen algorithm can create difficulties in the form of overfitting and un-
derfitting (Géron, 2017, p. 22). Overfitting means that ML algorithms can
sometimes generalize incorrectly although the model works on a training
data set. A model can be too complex, which means that the model follows
noise or errors in the data too closely (James et al., 2013, p. 22). Underfitting
is the opposite of overfitting and describes a model that is too simple for
the structure of the data to be recognized and learned (Géron, 2017, p. 29).
Figure 3: Cross Industry Standard Process for Data Mining (Shearer, 2000,
p. 14)
The illustrated process in Figure 3 is also used for ML projects and acts as a
common standard for ML (Cohen, 2017). The process defines six phases
with specific tasks. Starting from "Business Understanding" to "Data Un-
derstanding", "Data Preparation", "Modeling", its "Evaluation" and ending
with "Deployment". The goal of the framework is to improve results while
reducing costs and time for the project. Shearer (2000) describes the spe-
cific tasks in more detail.
The paper is focused on presenting ML methods that are usually used dur-
ing the modeling phase, as this was also the focus of the examined papers.
Literature Review on Machine Learning in Supply Chain Management 425
A Support Vector Machine (SVM) was applied to model the existing relation-
ships by using features inherent to the company, such as number of em-
ployees and capital, as well as features defined by the interlinkage of firms,
like customers of a supplier and common Industrial categories. The accu-
racy of the SVM-model reached up to 85%.
The most important determinants of customer-supplier relationships were
identified as number of employees or industry category. The authors ex-
plain the relevance of these categories with country specific characteristics
such as hierarchical structures. This shows that different determinants
might be relevant when applying the method elsewhere. Along with the
SVM, the ML model provides a tool to predict plausible candidates for future
customer-supplier relationships (Mori et al., 2010).
year. For training of the algorithm, the data from the last 2.5 years of the
particular distribution center has been used and the seasonality factor has
been taken into account.
As a result of the artificial intelligence algorithms, the demand forecasts be-
came so precise over a period of six months that a significant improvement
in forecast quality could be achieved and industrial partners are now able
to plan much earlier. Delivery reliability and product availability can thus
be significantly optimized, which is supported by an automated infor-
mation flow of future requirements to industrial partners. The advantages
of using the algorithms are obvious for the industrial partners as well as for
the dm drugstore market. The industrial partners can count on increased
planning and ordering security through valid forecasts and the drugstore
chain has secure product availability and less excess stocks. The results are
satisfied customers and lower costs (JDA Software, 2019, pp. 8–9).
After completion of the data acquisition, the used algorithm could correctly
classify more than 95.5% of the data. Thus the pallets can be quickly iden-
tified and false-positive pallets can be captured directly. This minimized
faulty inventory adjustments and deliveries (Keller et al., 2010).
plication examples for artificial neural networks are provided by the au-
thors Gaur, Goel and Jain (2015), who apply a data set from Walmart to fore-
cast demand for the SC [8], and Yang and Sutrisno (2018), who distribute
perishable goods among franchise companies [9]. Adhikari et al. (2017) con-
tribute with an ensemble technique to combine different ML methods in or-
der to obtain demand forecasts [10]. The described practical application of
the drugstore chain dm can be assigned to SCP, too, as the methodology
creates a planning basis for a more effective SC to the stores. JDA Software
(2019) mentions that the goal is to achieve high store availability [11].
Souichirou (2015) deals with commodity demand forecasting and system-
atization of SCM by using heterogenous mixture learning, and uses this to
simulate sales measures [14]. As one of the rare studies so far, Cui et al.
(2018) [12] and Lau, Zhang and Xu (2018) [13] integrate social media sources
to forecast sales. The last three authors base their analysis on real data.
In the area of procurement planning, Hogenboom et al. (2009) apply RBF
Networks [15] to deal with product pricing as well as Kiekintveld et al.
(2009) who use a Bayesian Network and artificial neuronal network [16]. In
addition to the two authors mentioned above, Lee and Sikora (2016) also
deal with product pricing by using Q-learning softmax function [17]. In the
same context, Ketter et al. (2009) use gaussian mixture models [18]. It is in-
teresting to mention that all three authors deal with the same topic based
on the same synthetic data, but use different methods.
Within distribution planning Mokhtarinejad et al. (2015) outline vehicle
routing and scheduling problems in cross-docking systems by using Bi-
Clustering, K-means and artificial Neural Networks [19].
Literature Review on Machine Learning in Supply Chain Management 431
In the third, operationally structured SCE, the literature addresses the areas
of Order Management, Supply Chain Event Management, Inventory, Pro-
duction and Transport Management.
Order management contains a total of four use cases. Based on synthetic
data, the authors Sun and Zhao (2012) present a multi-agent coordination
mechanism using reinforcement learning to derive an optimal ordering
strategy for the entire SC with several levels [20]. Wang, Ng and Ng (2018)
group SKUs according to their demand and performance attributes by un-
supervised learning [21]. Real data is used in Wang and Liu (2009) to train a
model using neural networks, which represents an index system for evalu-
ating order priority [22]. Zhu, Ma and Zhang (2014) determine the manufac-
turing priority of an order with the help of RBF neural networks, Kriging and
SVR [23].
There are four use cases in the area of Supply Chain Event Management.
Among them, Arumugam, Umashankar and Narendra (2018) create an in-
telligent logistics solution that negotiates contracts, and includes logistics
planning and condition monitoring of the facilities [24]. The early detection
of supplier risks, Frerichs (2018) [25], as well as the identification of fraud
and deceptive practices Zage, Glass and Colbaugh (2013) [26] are topics ad-
dressed in the context of risk management. Both applications rely on real
data. Hiromoto, Haney and Vakanski (2017) use neural networks to identify
vulnerabilities within SC's and mitigate the consequences of unforeseen
risks [27].
A total of four use cases could be assigned to inventory management. The
authors Barbosa de Santis, Pestana de Aguiar and Goliatt (2017) use ML
classifiers to identify material residues within an inventory management
432 Hannah Wenzel et al.
Figure 4 depicts the ML application cases described above sorted into the
respective supply chain tasks. The papers have been integrated into the
task model along with their assigned numbering. All tasks with ML use cases
are highlighted.
It shows that with four papers, SCD contains the lowest number of ML ap-
plications, all of them in the area of supplier selection. SCP has a total num-
ber of 15 use cases in the area of demand, procurement and distribution
planning, most of them allocated to demand planning. Within SCE, each
component of the SCM task model has at least one use case assigned. The
highest number of applications, 18, could be found in SCE. Many of the ap-
plications are based on real data, in some cases synthetic data serves to
verify the applicability of ML methods.
5 Conclusion
This paper assigns use cases of machine learning to the task model of Sup-
ply Chain Management, resulting in an overview of ML applications within
the different supply chain tasks. It was demonstrated that in the SCM task
model a single area could have different ML methods applied for a common
goal. A large portion of research focused on demand planning, with 10 out
of 38 papers handling this task. An investigation of ML methods for inter-
company areas such as SRM and CRM could be promising for SCM. Future
research should review relevant literature to suggest which methods apply
best to certain SCM tasks.
With regard to the standard process model, the research focus lies in the
modeling phase. Further research emphasizing on and explaining the con-
cepts used in Business, Data Understanding and Evaluation is required. The
Literature Review on Machine Learning in Supply Chain Management 435
examined papers cover these phases, but hardly present useful insights
and concepts for SCM. The Deployment phase is not treated at all.
436 Hannah Wenzel et al.
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